As of tonight, models still in agreement for a said swell event Friday through Monday. Since I am driving from DC, it still early to begin looking for places to stay along the DelMarVa for the weekend adventure. Currents GFDL model has the system swinging by the Pennisula on Sunday into Monday so you just never know. Just got a new XTR2 board from WRV and I can't wait to use it in some juice.
If all goes well :)
To beat a dead horse even further from a discussion we all had about 9 mnths ago, is this spot near where I'll be? niri
When is this thing gonna go Tropical???
Morning update still says "within a few days"???
A 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE AREA IS IN THE W ATLC CENTERED NEAR
29N72W AT 05/0900 UTC WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SW ACROSS
THE N BAHAMA ISLANDS INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. A SECOND SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS NE FROM THE LOW TO 33N68W. THIS SYSTEM HAS
CHANGED LITTLE OVERNIGHT BUT UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION THAT COULD DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE
LOW LEVEL CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION TO THE E WITHIN 150/180 NM
OF A LINE FROM THE BAHAMAS NEAR 24N76W TO 31N69W WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE E COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM FORT LAUDERDALE TO JACKSONVILLE.
Also, the projected path by WW3 and Swellinfo show this thing hugging the coast. I just don't know if I buy that.
If you look at the radar it has definite eastward movement, but yet WW3 48 hr model and swellinfo show it parked on top of Hatteras.
Just seems like a path east of Bermuda is more likely. Either way we get waves, but what do I know.
Never fear though...
There are two more tropical waves proving that the sleeping beast in the Atlantic has awoken:
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 35W/36W S OF 21N MOVING W 10-15 KT. BROAD
LOW/MID LEVEL INVERTED-V CURVATURE COVERING THE AREA S OF 23N
FROM 28W-45W OVERTAKING THE 1013 MB LOW EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
ITCZ. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM
16N-19N BETWEEN 30W-46W.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 67W/68W S OF 21N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE
IS EMBEDDED WITHIN SOME RATHER DRY STABLE AIR OVER THE E
CARIBBEAN MASKING THE SATELLITE SIGNATURE AND LIMITING ANY
Wow, GFDL model shows it heading east and strengthening to a Tropical storm tonight then hooking west back towards the east coast on Friday as a Cat 1 'Caine and building up to a Cat 3 on Sunday night!!!
By the way, the delay time on this site from when you submit a post to when it appears is extremely annoying. But so far this site is worth it.:)