Invest 92L soon to be tropical storm Fay is showing the following tracks: http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...892_model.html
these tracks mean this:
GFDL, HWRF: parallel to the east coast of Florida, 50-100 miles offshore
UKMET: Through South Florida into the Gulf of Mexico
NOGAPS: Through the Florida Keys, then northwest towards the Alabama/Mississippi coast
GFS: Through the Bahamas, then north towards North Carolina
Canadian: Across Cuba and through the Cayman Islands, then north in the Gulf of Mexico
the best track that it can take for us surfers anyways would be the GFDL or HWRF. this would be the ideal situation because i twould most likely not make land fall and would curve back out to see, which in turn would produce a large amount of background swell for the outerbanks.(where the real waves on the eastcoast are)
if it goes in the gulf, were **** out of luck. i will update these tracks around 11o'clock tonight. dont be surprised to see it in the TS status.
Also i have read alot of posts talking about beginers and what not, it is strongly recomended that if your not sure about your skill levels out there, then stay out of the water when **** gets big. not to only protect your self but others aswell. another thing is that these people are going to be out there, so exspierenced surfers be on the look out. i save 6 people during the bertha swell, which wasnt a true hurricane caliber swell. just thought i would add that.
yeah i agree if what fishinwitha510 said that if your new to surfing dont go out on the big days cause people that have been surfing for a long time know how to handle the waves and truly i wouldnt want to be out surfing on a head high day and have begginners out and getting hurt. so if your new to the sport do all the surfers a favor and dont paddle out. also every surfer knows his limit so just think whta your used to surfing and get use to that and then move up a notch.
I've been surfing for 4-5 years and I was a little uncomfortable paddling out during the first day of the Bertha swell. After being out there and getting used to it I now feel much more comfortable in bigger stuff.
yeah i've been surfing for 2-3 and it was a little sketchy at first but after that i was nice and fine.
FAY is headed to the gulf. moving west at 15kts.
florida gulf coast is going to need to keep a very close eye on fay.
if it does go into the gulf, east coasters may still see some action if it gets picked up by a frontal system.