For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure area
centered about 175 miles west-northwest of Bermuda has become
better organized this morning. Environmental conditions are only
marginally favorable for significant development. However...the
system could become a tropical or subtropical cyclone before
merging with a frontal boundary in a couple of days as it moves
northeastward around 15 mph.
An area of cloudiness and showers located about 950 miles east of
the southern Windward Islands is associated with a westward-moving
tropical wave. This area shows signs of organization...and some
slow development of this system is possible during the next couple
of days.
Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
My take on the situation:
If that area north of the bahamas develops, it will prob not be major swell provider for much of the coast south of New York, because it is going to be moving NE away from the coast at a pretty good speed as it gets picked up by a frontal system. There is however, some chance, that if developed could send some swell up to the Northeast region. Some potential here.
The area E of the windwards showing potential too...
ps. One of the projects in the works is going to be a Swellinfo tropical update podcast.
Hopfeully, i can get that going by the end of the month.
finally the tropics are waking up
we need a good NE swell
just like last monday the 23rd
if this tropical cyclone does happen
whats gonna happen with jersey?
waves?