Today I pulled up weather.com and the front page is a map with a huge L sitting right off of the carolina coast. Much to my surprise, the forecasts for vb/obx dont show much activity. Friday in Hatteras shows it dropping from 5 feet to flat in a matter of hours, in light offshores. Is the swell model tripping or is this going to be a weird few days?
Yeah im not sure why the forecast are so bad, Surfline is calling for Friday to be decnt but it looks like morning only as the winds will blowing hard from the wNW which will blow hwatever swell out quickly. Last few sessions i have had this site has been right no compared to surfline. Friday morning is about all we will get for surf this week/weekend it looks like.
the timeline showing a drop off like that is somewhat misleading, and I would like to work to be make these scenarios show better. What you are seeing is a lot of SSW in this swell. So, basically the timeline is dropping off, when it sees that the primary swell direction is out of the swell window. This isn't exactly how it works in the real world though, where a degree or two in the swell direction will make that much difference.
Like I said, I will work on making these scenarios better in time.
As of now, the low off the coast looks interesting. But, as we stand now, for OBX, but the offshores do look to blow pretty hard on Friday. Keep checking the updates, and keep in mind that the drop off, like you are seeing now, is showing due to the swell angle going more out to sea. Use the Rodanthe forecast as well to compare.
Last edited by Swellinfo; Mar 30, 2011 at 09:41 PM.
ehh im thinking the forcast is about right...id say shoulder high... head high in the right place..looks like its going to blow off the coast pretty quick so.... and not def not lasting till sat. half the size by dark...ill have fun on my day off