The last few Octobers have been awesome - and this year October has been pretty lamo as a whole. One big E/NE wind swell, but most areas got the sloppy stuff.
This is generally my favorite time to surf. I'm not going to hold my breath for the tropics, but were due for a good SE wind swell / frontal system.
And, those long range tropical forecasters definitely blew it this year. If I recall correctly, Dr. Gray was calling for a a frequency of storms similar to last year, when his first early forecasts came out.