i understand the "uncertainty" of tropical systems but shouldn't you temper your forecast to reflect that rather than take the best possible outcome?
for instance yesterday for a while the long range for monmouth county put the weekend at chest to head high over two days now it's in the waist range.
i'm just saying instead of fudging the forecast to look the most favorable wait until you have a better idea of the system or fetch so you're not blowing smoke up my rear. more favorable forecasts boost your page views which in turn helps boost ad sales/revenue. instead of trying to make a buck, be honest. that's all.
How is he not honest ??? Did he take your money and rip u off ???? Last time I check the site was free to use.
there are something that the forcast cant calculate into the forcast like bottom conditions . If alot of sand has moved around it could have made or added to a exhisting sandbar .
Maybe you should stop depending on a site and learn about what works best at the breaks you surf at. Weather changes in a moments notice
There is no choosing between optimal forecast tracks or fudging long range forecasts to make it look better. Forecasts are based off the GFS model (global forecasting system) wind forecasts, and hurricane forecasts are at times shifted to the GFDL Hurricane model wind forecast.
Swellinfo runs a wave model which uses wind input from weather models. Wind input will come from weather models, such as GFS, which is the top global forecast model (run by NCEP/NOAA), which basically every weather forecasting business will use for long range forecasts. That is the short of it. I hope to build out a tutorial section elaborating on many things, including understanding the fundamentals of weather and wave models.
Last edited by Swellinfo; Aug 2, 2011 at 03:34 PM.