LOGIN | REGISTER

Page 2 of 4 FirstFirst 1234 LastLast
Results 11 to 20 of 38

Thread: TS Noel

  1. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by OBlove View Post
    woops. sorry join man. looks nice. lost my boogie board though so i will have to pass on a boogie comp.
    No worries, just busting your chops. We all hope for waves from anything since this year has been one to forget.

  2. #12
    Something of interest is being discussed.

    Noel is expected to head through the Bahamas then get recurved to the North East by a cold front (several fronts are lined up to march through the US this week)

    Of interest is the front that pushed Noel out to sea could very well see it's southern portion cut off and stalled in Noel's wake.

    A secondary system could possibly form and move northwards until it too is recurved out to sea by a front.

    The second system would be much farther north if and when this occurs but it would mean a lot for the mid atlantic surf reports.

    Timing is largely unknown at this point. Just something to keep an eye on though.

  3. #13
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Lewes, DE
    Posts
    5,377
    Images
    121
    Here's my video forecast summary regarding Noel and how Noel could hook it up for us...

    Quote Originally Posted by Swellinfo View Post
    Looks pretty exciting right now.

  4. #14
    Join Date
    Aug 2006
    Location
    Point
    Posts
    267
    Images
    24
    Keep the positive forecasts coming, would ya?!! We could use three Saturdays in a row!!!

  5. #15
    Quote Originally Posted by Lumpy View Post
    Keep the positive forecasts coming, would ya?!! We could use three Saturdays in a row!!!
    Agreed, and a contest to boot!

  6. #16
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    MonCo NJ
    Posts
    355
    GFDL has Noel reaching hurricane strength while at the far edge of our swell window, but that is likely overestimated. It is probably in our best interest for it to remain a strong tropical storm and not reach 'caine strength. The stronger the storm, the higher it will reach in the atmosphere and easier it will get pushed out to sea by the front that will pass off the east coast on Thursday. A hurricane would hook closer out towards Bermuda at the edge of our swell window. A tropical storm staying closer to the coast could bring bigger surf. Noel is disorganized after passing over PR and the Dominican Republic and will likely not begin to reorganize until later tomorrow (Tuesday). I think Wednesday morning will bring a much clearer picture of the track and strength because we will see how much strength is gained and how strong that front will be. Right now though, track and strength look decent for us. I'm getting everything done so my schedule is clear for the weekend. PFS.
    Last edited by rDJ; Oct 30, 2007 at 11:58 AM.

  7. #17
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Location
    Green Room
    Posts
    903
    Images
    8
    https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/ww3_cgi/c...rod=sig_wav_ht

    The naval maps show this thing getting really strong once off the east coast. Strongest low I've ever seen in the atlantic. check it out.

  8. #18
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    MonCo NJ
    Posts
    355
    Quote Originally Posted by wallysurfr View Post
    https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/ww3_cgi/c...rod=sig_wav_ht

    The naval maps show this thing getting really strong once off the east coast. Strongest low I've ever seen in the atlantic. check it out.
    36 ft seas at about 75W. That's gotta be forcasting 'caine strength. What's our swell window? About 50 - 55W? Wow, not bad. Forcast should be bumped up if that comes true.

    NWS shows it never reaching 'caine strength, which I tend to agree with. Water surface temps have cooled a bit and passing over Cuba weakened it alot. It would have to strengthen while over the Bahamas and near Florida. GDFL says Cat 2 'Caine by tomorrow. I just don't see that happening this time of year. Either way it's current track forcast is really good for us.

    It could get messy for Florida. A closer path to Florida bodes well for the rest of us up north though. Keep that path inside of 70W after the recurve and we're good to go TS or 'caine either way. Hopefull the chilly 60 degree air this weekend will thin the crowds. I've seen more surfers in Oct than I did the rest of the year. Uhg!

    http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/..._animated.html

  9. #19
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Location
    Green Room
    Posts
    903
    Images
    8
    http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atl...=wxcenter_maps

    projected path is looking good as well...

  10. #20
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Location
    long branch nj
    Posts
    31
    Images
    2
    just wondering where this swell is gonna be best for the weekend should i head down to the obx or stay in nj