A lot of the long period swells in recent years didn't really send swell to monmouth county. A lot of us had to drive south or into NY to surf swells like Bill. I know there was some discussion, but this surfline feature sums it up perfectly - see the diagram on slide #20

http://www.surfline.com/surf-news/me...ew-york_58972/

hudson valley diverts all long period swell north and south of it. hopefully this doesn't happen with katia...