Hey does anyone think the forecast for tommorow is a little bit ridiculous. I predict it's at least going to be waist-chest for the am then dropping in the pm. I'm planning on going on a DP after church. Anyone agree with my thoughts?
Yeah, there was a previous post where another guy was talking about how surfline has predicted at least waist to shoulder high waves for tommorrow. I'm no expert, but even though Noel is quickly leaving, I would think that some of the swell that he kicked up yesterday afternoon and evening east of the outerbanks would arrive up in Jersey a while after he is gone. Maybe according to the swellinfo forecast, that stuff isn't going to arrive until Monday, which is predicted at waist to chest high.
Fun size 3-4’+ SE leftovers are on tap for much of the region with larger set waves in the head-overhead range at the top spots. Spots from Cape Cod through NH /ME are still seeing plenty of ENE/SE swell mix in the 5-6’ range with larger sets in the 2-3’ overhead range to standout spots – spots up this way will be the last to receive the swell and the last to see the surf fade. Winds are NW 10-15kts.
Noel is on a N becoming NE track and will pass east of the region. As a result a complicated wave pattern sets up with multiple swell directions in the water. This swell is well established by Saturday into Sunday. Use the LOLA model and nearshore models to help visualize the progression of the SE swell train.
NE and SE swell mix is on tap with solid surf in the water Saturday with winds becoming more favorable for the E facing, exposed spots as we move through the day. Of course the S facing spots will benefit all day from the N becoming NW winds. Plenty of leftovers continue for Sunday with lighter NW winds.
Over the weekend, Noel undergoes extratropical transition while moving north towards the Canadian Maritimes. This will result in fun but slowly fading SE leftovers for much of the NE region early next week. A solid swell is due to Nova Scotia for the weekend with winds potentially becoming favorable there with the progression of the system.
The slow fading trend continues with small scale but still surfable waves for most spots by Tuesday/Wednesday of next week. Some localized windswell will also mix in for the S exposed spots.