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  1. #11
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Location
    Monmouth Beach, NJ
    Posts
    2,471
    4 sec from the N or NNE does not make ridable surf in NoMoCo. I'm saying that because a bump on the graph does not mean waves if you know what makes your local tick... which is the point I think Swellinfo is trying to make. Checking the maps is your next step in putting the pieces together.

  2. #12
    Ok, off the Long Island topic kinda but the stretch of coastline from vb through rodanthe, unlike any other on the east coast from western cape cod to sc, faces wnw. Ive seen this particular stretch of coast pick up nnw swell before and ive even seen a strong enough nnw wind swell wrap down into buxton (faces ese) with side/off shore conditions there. The Sunday forecast is calling nw winds which look to be pretty strong but im betting this swell misses the coastline. Prove me wrong please cuz we need some surf.
    I bet PR would prob be epic bout middle next week tho.

  3. #13
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Location
    Ocean County NJ
    Posts
    1,024
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    1
    The current chart for my spot is calling for .6@4 South (8 pm). The buoy at 8 pm is reporting 4.3@5 south. The low is currently forming off the Carolina coast and will begin heading out to sea Saturday afternoon. The wind blew hard south all afternoon and is forecast to be 30 kts N before switching to NW later tomorrow (NOAA). So with the buoys currently showing triple the size of what was forecasted (I know 4.3@5 is still pretty worthless) and with this low pressure yet to do its thing; I would have to say it’s worth keeping an eye on things Saturday.

  4. #14
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Location
    Ocean County NJ
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    1,024
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    8:00 am Update:buoy 44065 is 2.3@9 ESE (almost waist high here) or as Swell Info likes to call it, .5@4 S (flat).

  5. #15
    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    VB via PR and HI
    Posts
    231
    Quote Originally Posted by jrobe057 View Post
    Ok, off the Long Island topic kinda but the stretch of coastline from vb through rodanthe, unlike any other on the east coast from western cape cod to sc, faces wnw. Ive seen this particular stretch of coast pick up nnw swell before and ive even seen a strong enough nnw wind swell wrap down into buxton (faces ese) with side/off shore conditions there. The Sunday forecast is calling nw winds which look to be pretty strong but im betting this swell misses the coastline. Prove me wrong please cuz we need some surf.
    I bet PR would prob be epic bout middle next week tho.
    If you look at this and other "do it yourself" forecasting tools there is discrepancy in the size for tomorrows wind swell event. Some models are calling for waist high and others 1-2' overhead. I'm not a meteorologist so I just look at the nearshore models and NWS forecast and average it out as best you can. I've seen Rodanthe and that area pick up a NW windswell if there is any N in it at all offshore. But tomorrow's forecast is tough to decipher.

  6. #16
    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    VB via PR and HI
    Posts
    231
    [QUOTE=havanasand;118446]If you look at this and other "do it yourself" forecasting tools there is discrepancy in the size for tomorrows wind swell event. Some models are calling for waist high and others 1-2' overhead. I'm not a meteorologist so I just look at the nearshore models and NWS forecast and average it out as best you can. I've seen Rodanthe and that area pick up a NW windswell if there is any N in it at all offshore. But tomorrow's forecast is tough to decipher.[/Q

    http://www.surfline.com/coast-swell-...ter-banks_2150

  7. #17
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Location
    Monmouth Beach, NJ
    Posts
    2,471
    Maaaaybe knee high and gutless... high tide... glassy... breaking pretty much on the beach where I checked it. 44025 says about a foot and a half at 9 sec from the ESE. Swellinfo was calling for it to be less than a foot. Seein' as unrideable is unrideable, I'd give that a passing grade on your 'test' for up here.

  8. #18
    Maybe if the tide was out it would be worth considering as there is a bump passing through the water. But I certianly didnt expect waves today. I was only questioning the call for 2 to 3 foot swell on sunday, reported at another site, mixed with the flat call last weekend where it turned out to be good chest high surf on LI... which was a nice surprise on sunday.