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Thread: Debby???

  1. #1

    Debby???

    OK, what is up with the storm track? it looks like its going west into texas but then the swell maps are totally different and showing it tracks its way up along the coast? the forecast is still calling for it to give us waves for NC, but the storm track says its going into texas.... whats going on? is something else going to be giving us waves? any info would help a lot! thanks guys!

  2. #2
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    debby is gonna stall in the gulf for a day or two and depends on what steering system has more clout. there is the high in texas that they are thinkin will suk it that way as opposed to pushing it eastward, still too early to tell, but i think it will jog over the panhandle of FL and scoot up east. We will see.

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by inkdink View Post
    OK, what is up with the storm track? it looks like its going west into texas but then the swell maps are totally different and showing it tracks its way up along the coast? the forecast is still calling for it to give us waves for NC, but the storm track says its going into texas.... whats going on? is something else going to be giving us waves? any info would help a lot! thanks guys!
    Going to Myrtle Beach to see family (insert applause here) and looking at the Mon/Tues wave model, thinking the same thing. It looks to be a south windswell fetch from the broading area of low pressure in the gulf. Not intense but a big low.

  4. #4
    Debby does Dallas.?

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    Quote Originally Posted by havanasand View Post
    Going to Myrtle Beach to see family (insert applause here) and looking at the Mon/Tues wave model, thinking the same thing. It looks to be a south windswell fetch from the broading area of low pressure in the gulf. Not intense but a big low.
    Well, the current model still has the trough pushing LP east and into the SE swell window. I'll need to get the crystal ball out of the closet to figure this one out.

  6. #6
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    any pix of the gulf swell? I wish to grab a flight down and catch some tasty waves. if I only could
    Last edited by bmore surf; Jun 24, 2012 at 02:08 PM.

  7. #7
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    Forecast models are very split on Debby right now... NHC is calling for it to head west.
    Looks like fun, if you are in the Gulf.

  8. #8
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    Just checked. The computer models are split but the ensemble is showing a stronger tendency to turn and cross North Fl.

  9. #9
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    Yeah....models are split. One of the problems with weather maps that show 72, 96, or 120 hour storm locations is that they have to show it SOMEWHERE, even when the models are all over the place so the actual likelyhood of it being anywhere near that forecast location is low. Then the swell models build off of that (in this case relatively unreliable) forecast.

    So it is going to be in the Atlantic 96 hours from now or inland near Louisiana, Texas? The models are all over the place.

    Last edited by mitchell; Jun 24, 2012 at 02:30 PM.

  10. #10
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    So you're saying that there is a good chance that this 7ft @ 7 sec swell in jax is probably not going to happen? shouldn't we have a better idea since it's less than 24 hrs away? I'm driving there for tomorrows swell looking to score. good news would be most excellent right about now. thanks to anyone who helps point me towards the swell. i guess my question is when is the earliest we will know what and when its doing?