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Thread: blown forecast

  1. #1

    blown forecast

    I'm smelling a skunk tommorow for Rhode Island. No way waist to chest. WAAAY too much west in this swell. It's WSW(252 degrees) 6.2 feet at 7 seconds and it's flat currently at 7:00pm on many south and east facing breaks.


  2. #2
    Join Date
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    How are you going to call a blown forecast, before it even arrives...

    For Rhode Island, you will see there are 2 different beach facing directions.
    S facing beaches is the default:
    http://www.swellinfo.com/surf-foreca...de-island.html
    For E facing beaches:
    http://www.swellinfo.com/surf-foreca...-island-e.html

    You will see Swellinfo is showing only minor swell getting into the east facers.

    There will definitely be surf at the south exposures... Just a matter of finding that compromise between clean surf and more size The primary swell direction will be coming from the SSW.
    Last edited by Swellinfo; Jul 26, 2012 at 11:22 PM.

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by Swellinfo View Post
    How are you going to call a blown forecast, before it even arrives...

    For Rhode Island, you will see there are 2 different beach facing directions.
    S facing beaches is the default:
    http://www.swellinfo.com/surf-foreca...de-island.html
    For E facing beaches:
    http://www.swellinfo.com/surf-foreca...-island-e.html

    You will see Swellinfo is showing only minor swell getting into the east facers.

    There will definitely be surf at the south exposures... Just a matter of finding that compromise between clean surf and more size The primary swell direction will be coming from the SSW.
    The swell has arrived. According to your forecast it should be nearly chest high. It's over 6 feet right now on the buoy. I was staring at s south facing break in western RHode Island at 7:00pm and it was flat. And by flat I mean FLAT. A 252 degree swell doesn't get into the majority of south facing breaks. Rhody doesn't handle west swells well. SW absolutely, but not a due west swell or wsw(degree of direction and size/period dependant). If you head west over rhode island, you run into land or long island sound, not ocean. Therefore not much fetch. lol

    Not a knock on your site. All the forecasts sites are calling for the swell, but I've seen this scenario before when it's got too much west in it. I HOPE I'm wrong. If the primary direction switches to ssw or even sw we are in business.
    Last edited by shark-hunter; Jul 27, 2012 at 12:01 AM.

  4. #4
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    The majority of the swell will fill in overnight as the southerly fetch from the Mid Atlantic reaches your area.
    The beginning short period wind swells can float on by easily, but the long period fetch usually doesn't get blown out as easily by the westerly current.

    The tucked away areas, like Naragansett wont see much with these swells, while the more exposed spots to the east should. Give it a check in the morning.

  5. #5
    Join Date
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    If you know better than the forecasting sites what will be happening at your break, then that's great for you right? You know what the swell will be while everyone else follows the sites. So if it's good you'll be the one out while others are in and if it's bad you won't waste the gas while others are messing around chasing random swells.

    So what exactly are you complaining about if you think you know what the swell will be anyway?

  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by Swellinfo View Post
    The majority of the swell will fill in overnight as the southerly fetch from the Mid Atlantic reaches your area.
    The beginning short period wind swells can float on by easily, but the long period fetch usually doesn't get blown out as easily by the westerly current.

    The tucked away areas, like Naragansett wont see much with these swells, while the more exposed spots to the east should. Give it a check in the morning.
    That makes sense. Thanks.

  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by Sloop John B. View Post
    So what exactly are you complaining about if you think you know what the swell will be anyway?
    All the excitement all week long just to see a damn w in front of the sw on the buoy. Let down! Hopefully it's just that westerly current and it will in tommorw

  8. #8
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    where do you surf in RI?

  9. #9
    we started getting swell today in NJ when it was forcasted to be pretty much nothing. im nervous about tomorrow.

  10. #10
    Swell in Montauk this afternoon. Got a few good ones in. Tomorrow is going to be a washing machine though. Saturday should clean up.