The forecast has been flip-flopping around for two days now, probably in response to the trajectory of Florence's remnants. I think we'll get some kind of bump this weekend, but dunno if it'll be Saturday or Sunday and whether the near-shore winds will be favorable for clean conditions.
Last edited by Mid-Life Crisis; Aug 8, 2012 at 03:32 PM.
Is this Florence's remnants, or is it just another windswell from an approaching cold front? That's what it looks more like to me... a low over the Ohio Valley slowly moving NNE over a couple days, with a trailing cold front creating some south windswell ahead of it.
you should realize that the Mid Atlantic region covers New Jersey through the Outer Banks, so keep that in mind when you are posted about upcoming swells at your location, that the forecasts for up and down the coast will vary.
idk if this is like illegal but Surfline Premium forecast is saying
Saturday: Poor 2-3ft
Sunday: Fair 3-4ft +
These often change too as they are days 4 and 5, but take it for how you want. 2-3 ft on my beach usually means 3-4. 3-4ft + usually means 4-6ft.
The 5 day LOLA models break it down very detailed for every break on the coast for the most part. I use that when i'm trying to decide between two or three of my favorite spots. It might say 2-3ft for a region, but then you check the LOLA model for the exact break you surf, and it may be a bit smaller or larger depending on the swell.
The LOLA models favors the other beaches in cape may rather than the one I'm at even though basically every surfer flocks to my beach when the waves get big because its basically right near the inlet, which i don't think LOLA takes into consideration.