Don't neglect to factor in the number of squirrels eaten by hawks mid-fall to the first day of winter. If you take that number and multiply it by the number of named storms during the tropical season, then divide by the thickness of the wetsuit required to get through winter in your region, you will have the average strength(in millibars) of each winter storm. Also remember that winter storms are named now, which does help increase sustained winds a bit.
I heard that until late-December the days are going to get shorter???!!!! This is totally F-ed up. If days aren't 24 hours long wouldn't it screw up the tides and what-not? The whole planet is just way out of whack right now. Plus, shorter days means fewer total waves, which means less opportunity to surf. This winter is going to BLOW.