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  1. #1
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    Next Swell for Jersey

    Checked MagicSeaWeed. Their buoy forecasts calling for Friday/Sunday swells. How you think this will progress?

    http://magicseaweed.com/Manasquan-Su...dLongRange/us/

    Those will be fun if they keep up. I know its long range forecasting and chances are it'll change A LOT but I hope it doesn't. Would be amazing if it doesn't. What are you guys feeling?

  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by tbing View Post
    Checked MagicSeaWeed. Their buoy forecasts calling for Friday/Sunday swells. How you think this will progress?

    http://magicseaweed.com/Manasquan-Su...dLongRange/us/

    Those will be fun if they keep up. I know its long range forecasting and chances are it'll change A LOT but I hope it doesn't. Would be amazing if it doesn't. What are you guys feeling?
    Magic seaweed is nearly worthless. They actually aren't forecasting swell even tho they claim to. There was a whole thread on this topic earlier. their forecast of 3' swell @ 16 seconds Friday is bogus.

  3. #3
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    Their forecasts are wave buoys. Nothing near shore. All that is ocean swell. Watch the periods with any bump in the water. If its coming ESE like it says and holds up that period parts of NJ will be good. Best thing you can do with that site is take the data and make your own forecast from it
    Last edited by tbing; Jun 2, 2008 at 05:43 PM.

  4. #4
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    Exclamation

    great example of why not to use magic seaweed!

    Ok, so you are seeing on Friday - 3ft @ 16 seconds.

    Now, go to Monmouth County, NJ Swellinfo surf forecast page, and look at the swell plots or click view details on the surf plots. Here is where you will see the whole spectrum of wave heights sorted out into individual swells.

    You should see 4 different swells.
    0.7 ft @ 8sec - ESE (red)
    1 ft @ 15 sec - ESE (blue)
    1.3ft @ 4 sec - ENE (pink)
    1.6ft @ 6 sec - S (orange)

    So, magicseaweed is giving a combined wave height of 3ft @ 16secons. But, they are not showing you whats really going on in the wave spectrum. There is an underlying 1ft ESE long period swell, and some very small short period swells mixing in.

    Make sense?

  5. #5
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    PS - weds/thurs looks more promising.
    Last edited by SI_Admin; Jun 2, 2008 at 05:56 PM.

  6. #6
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    Yeah I see what you mean. I'm still gonna keep a watch on this though :P

  7. #7
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    FYI....
    @ the Trevor J. Stockdale Memorial Coastal Monitoring Station (http://cmn.dl.stevens-tech.edu/ ) at Ocean Grove, NJ:
    Water Temperature: 15.2oC (59.3oF)

    And:
    @ the Coastal Monitoring Network (http://cmn.dl.stevens-tech.edu/ ) at Avalon, NJ:
    Water Temperature: 15.4oC (59.7oF)

    Pretty close to 57 degrees in my book...

    Sometimes these things are offline or the sensors are out of calibration, but it is a pretty good site...

  8. #8
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    yes, the avalon station is on the Swellinfo data buoy map, id is avan4. Not sure why the grove grove, nj station isn't being distributed as the others are.

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Swellinfo View Post
    yes, the avalon station is on the Swellinfo data buoy map, id is avan4. Not sure why the grove grove, nj station isn't being distributed as the others are.

    That's cause were special
    Last edited by Aguaholic; Jun 5, 2008 at 06:22 PM.

  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lumpy View Post
    FYI....
    @ the Trevor J. Stockdale Memorial Coastal Monitoring Station (http://cmn.dl.stevens-tech.edu/ ) at Ocean Grove, NJ:
    Water Temperature: 15.2oC (59.3oF).

    ^That was just an example.....earlier that day and the day b4 it was 10° C which = 50° F

    FYI - the degree symbol is alt + 0176
    Last edited by Aguaholic; Jun 5, 2008 at 06:21 PM.