Hoping to settle an arguement here. A friend and I are trying to estimate how many " year round" surfers there are in Jersey. People that actually do they're best to get out and surf at least a cpl. times a month all year long. Not that I consider myself a "surfer" because I pretty much stink/ but I do my best to surf all year long so I count myself in there.
I'm putting my guess @ 50,000. Living in New Jersey that have all the equipment as well as the desire to surf year 'round. My friend says it's WAY higher...like 250,000. I say he's nutz.
Anyone out there care to chime in?? Or has this thread already been done to death and I just missed it? Just seems like there's a whole lot more people in the water now than when I started 13 years ago. That and it's a really boring (and of course..flat) Sat. here in Bradley
"their" not "they're" in this particular case....
so I think 50,000 is waaaaay too high. My guess is that there are probably 1000 people who are year round surfers in dirty jerzey. Although the number of people with wetsuits and winter gear is obviously higher.
Hmmm...let's assume there are 500 surfable spots in NJ. That's 1 spot for every 1/4 mile of coastline. Even if 1/2 of your 50,000 surfers spread out over NJ and showed up for a single swell, that would mean each spot would have 50 people. Even on good swells in the Fall when the summer crowds are still in the water I've never seen 150 people in a 1/2 mile stretch of beach.
I'm not familiar with southern jerz but in reality how many surf spots are there along the coast? 200? 20 people per = 4,000. That means for every mile and a half of Jerzey shore there are 20 people surfing. During the winter?? Even that seems like a lot of people.
I think MFitz is pretty close and I'd guess there are fewer than 2k.
I think 1000 is low. People are busy and at any given time its unlikely that more than 20% of the people who actually DO surf all winter ARE surfing.
If we had a decent swell in the middle of the winter there would surely be at least 500 people in the water at once (figure 25 surfable areas/towns with 20 surfers out at each.) Some of them are from out of state, so that's a variable but its unlikely that anywhere near half of all year around surfers would be in the water at one time.
I'd put it well over 1000 year round surfers...maybe 2-3 k.
Just got a text from the guy I'm having the argument with. He wrote:
"Based on a surfline survey there are 165,000 "surfers" in N.J. (definition being "have caught at least one wave in the last year)...with 130 miles that equals 1,270 "surfers" per mile of coastline... As has been pointed out not every mile is surfable and their definition of "surfers" is not what either he or I had in mind when we started this discussion...but either way it appears I am winning! LOL! It's no where near as crowded as he was saying and I overshot it quite abit myself. But that is sort of how we were trying to come up with a number was our average break on an average winter swell (10-15ish) times mileage of Jersey coastline.
(It just SEEMS like all 165,000 are in Bradley on a Sat. in July