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  1. #11
    I almost always compare all 3 forecasts for every swell. The swell forecasts are usually - but not always - pretty similar, but MSW absolutely blows at translating that swell to wave height at local breaks. An example would be a 7ft @ 6s SSW swell translating to a forecasted wave height of 5-6 feet in DE.

    I suspect SI and SL largely generate their forecasts with data provided by NOAA, while MSW might be pulling it from ECMWF. You'd think that would make it more accurate, but again, I think it's just the total lack of local knowledge that makes their forecasts here fall apart. I also think SL, being based on the west coast, doesn't do very well forecasting the shorter period wind swell we get here.

    tl;dr swellinfo is the best.

  2. #12
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Location
    Ocean County NJ
    Posts
    1,105
    Images
    1
    Quote Originally Posted by NICAfiend View Post
    Buoyweather is the one I trust most. This site is pretty accurate, not a big fan of Surfline and MSW has it's days. I generally look at them all and take the sum of what they say. Looking out the window beats them all though. If you can't do that check the cams.
    So you see the future out your window? Can I get in on that?

  3. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by Doug View Post
    So you see the future out your window? Can I get in on that?
    I can see the future of what my day is going to hold. Is it starting to clear up, is there a storm rolling through, which way is that tree blowing, etc.....

    thanks 002.jpg

  4. #14
    NEsurf.com is ok if your north off Cape Cod

  5. #15
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Location
    East Coast
    Posts
    337
    Quote Originally Posted by NICAfiend View Post
    I can see the future of what my day is going to hold. Is it starting to clear up, is there a storm rolling through, which way is that tree blowing, etc.....

    thanks 002.jpg
    Thats a great view!

  6. #16
    Join Date
    Aug 2010
    Location
    BELMAR, NJ
    Posts
    1,632
    Images
    1
    I just check it at my local break- Belmar,NJ

    #itsalwaysheadhiinbelmar

  7. #17
    Quote Originally Posted by Doug View Post
    I guess you had some fun today regaurdless.
    Yep, so much so that I haven't had a chance to post : Five days of surf and finally had to take today off because I was starting to get tired.

    24th - Hadn't surfed in a week. Head high, windy and messy so went to the kiddie break where it's wind protected and was waist to chest.
    25th - Wind coming down but couple feet overhead and messy. Back to kiddie break.
    26th - Back to my usual spot. Head high and crowded (Sunday. 20-25 people.). Semi bumpy but oh so nice! Rights not lining up but some quick fast lefts. I'm goofy so it's all good.
    27th - Maybe a foot overhead and only six guys out. Super fun.
    28th - A little smaller with set waves around head high, a little longer between sets, but lining up beautifully and consistently. Three different peaks lining up into one long awesome right with a four to five minute paddle back.
    29th - (Today) Much smaller - maybe chest high? Windy. Tired. Drove by before daybreak, thought about paddling out, watched some guys get some, went home.

    As for the forecast? I think SL may have been the most accurate, consistently calling for 4-6 ft (shoulder high to 1ft overhead), but SI was close enough and free! No one got the wind right this week. The wind forecasts are correct for the afternoon, but they were always wrong in the morning.

    Sorry about the long, pseudo journal entry, but man it's been a fun week and I figure with all the Belmar hashtags, I should talk up my warm, clear, water.

  8. #18
    Quote Originally Posted by NickM View Post
    The guy in the pic has awesome shorts. As for accuracy, I use both SI and surf line
    I had a chance to talk to him in the lineup the next day. Nice guy. He came here from HI for a longboard competition last weekend and won the 60+ age group. The pic doesn't show it, but he was walking up and down and hanging off the nose nicely. 62 years old and going strong. I was tired after three hours and left - he kept going and was there again the next day and the next. Told me he's been surfing for forty years. I only hope I have that stamina at that age. Maybe a speedo would provide some kind of aerodynamic benefit that will improve my surfing?

  9. #19
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Location
    East Coast
    Posts
    337
    Quote Originally Posted by sailquik View Post
    I had a chance to talk to him in the lineup the next day. Nice guy. He came here from HI for a longboard competition last weekend and won the 60+ age group. The pic doesn't show it, but he was walking up and down and hanging off the nose nicely. 62 years old and going strong. I was tired after three hours and left - he kept going and was there again the next day and the next. Told me he's been surfing for forty years. I only hope I have that stamina at that age. Maybe a speedo would provide some kind of aerodynamic benefit that will improve my surfing?
    A speedo will reduce fatigue when cutting back in the pocket. High speed, low drag.

  10. #20
    swellinfo and surfline look pretty close but msw is definitely off. I dont even look at msw anymore