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  1. #21
    first i read waves and beaches and now i read this i feel like i need a new screen name. maybe it should be southshortperiodwindswellsucks or just upwellingsucks

    edit check it out:

    Last edited by windswellsucks; Jul 6, 2008 at 05:25 AM.

  2. #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by windswellsucks View Post
    first i read waves and beaches and now i read this i feel like i need a new screen name. maybe it should be southshortperiodwindswellsucks or just upwellingsucks

    edit check it out:

    Loving this track! Big Bertha's coming!-Wife of Ernesto!

  3. #23
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    it's a really small storm, but the track is looking really good right now. The big variable right now is the wind shear environment, and that is what most hurricane forecasters are having the toughest time with right now - determining how much the wind shear will influence Bertha over the next several days.

    In any case, if the track stays true, and we see a hurricane strength storm, then we should see some fun waves.

  4. #24
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    with bertha's track continuing in good form, would you expect to see good surf in the obx region around friday of this week or will it be much longer????

  5. #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by hollowtoobz View Post
    with bertha's track continuing in good form, would you expect to see good surf in the obx region around friday of this week or will it be much longer????
    Yes. Look for swell to creep up for the OBX Thursday and into Friday, and likely hold into the weekend. Winds will be a big factor.

  6. #26
    Looks like onshore winds for now with temps in very high 80's. That better change!

  7. #27
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    Oct 2007
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    If

    if this stays as projeted what kind of surf could we be expecting....chest...head...overhead????

  8. #28
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
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    Long Beach
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    What's the probability of a system getting locked in so we have a day (or so) of offshore winds to clean up after the build when/if Bertha passes??

    I have visions of hideous onshore slop when I'm craving glassy bombs.

  9. #29
    Another formula to use is H=V(d+p)/Gs(w) where H is the swell height and Gs is the projected ground swell hieght this quartic equation works for most hurricanes and tropical depressions. D is the distance from land and W is the wind speed in kilometers per hour. P is the period of swell. I used this equation and plugged in all the numbers for T.D. Micah and it looks like we can look for 125 foot waves around 20 seconds. Depending on tides and wind, actuall wave faces could could grow exponentially to around 200-250 feet! so it wont be to big, it might be big enough for short board but idk? But DEfinitely good beginner waves fo sho?


    -Do WorK

  10. #30
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