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  1. #11
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Location
    RVA
    Posts
    188
    I know this schrader ... and I'll be throwin buckets like clay marzo taking out my panic disorder frustration. See you soon.

  2. #12
    Join Date
    May 2008
    Location
    Ocean City
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    201
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    Tracking?

    Alright i should know more about this as i have taken geography classes and my friend is a atmospheric science major, but how do i go about tracking this without hopping on the forums everyday asking you? Also, what is an invest is that just what they call big low pressure systems that look like they will form hurricanes?

  3. #13
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Lewes, DE
    Posts
    5,377
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    121
    Quote Originally Posted by Zansurf View Post
    Alright i should know more about this as i have taken geography classes and my friend is a atmospheric science major, but how do i go about tracking this without hopping on the forums everyday asking you? Also, what is an invest is that just what they call big low pressure systems that look like they will form hurricanes?
    become more familiar with the Swellinfo Hurricane Center. When you click on a individual storm, you will go to a page that will give you lots of resources. There are 2 drop down menus, one with text forecast resources on the left side of the page, and the other graphic resources on the right side of the page.

    I always check the text discussion from the NHC forecaster and also look at the computer model graphic forecasts, which show the paths of the individual forecast models.

    A Invest, short for investigation, is just an area that has potential to become a named tropical system. These are areas, that are often modelled and also investigated by the Hurricane Hunters that fly into the areas to get better data.

    As you become more familiar with the Hurricane resources, you will be understand how the tracking works.

  4. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by Swellinfo View Post
    Swellinfo surf forecasts go out 5 days, but wave/period maps will go out 7.5 days. On the ground swells, a good way to track when the swell energy arrives is to look at the wave period maps.

    For this system, looks for the surf to pick up sunday/monday time frame. It will depend on how much development occurs.
    I'm looking at your swell plots for sunday monday and seeing only 2' @ 10 for the delmarva. I guess your models aren't making much of 95L?

  5. #15
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Lewes, DE
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    Quote Originally Posted by South Bethany View Post
    I'm looking at your swell plots for sunday monday and seeing only 2' @ 10 for the delmarva. I guess your models aren't making much of 95L?
    ok, here's the deal. The current(normal) Swellinfo model is based off of the GFS model winds, which is not showing much development. If development starts occuring, we switch over to our hurricane model based off of the GFDL winds.

    The GFDL is currently showing significant development to Cat 2 as it approaches Bermuda.

  6. #16

    Thumbs up

    Quote Originally Posted by Swellinfo View Post
    ok, here's the deal. The current(normal) Swellinfo model is based off of the GFS model winds, which is not showing much development. If development starts occuring, we switch over to our hurricane model based off of the GFDL winds.

    The GFDL is currently showing significant development to Cat 2 as it approaches Bermuda.
    thanks for the info...thanks for staying conservative. nobody need 4 green bars based off a wishcast

  7. #17
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Lewes, DE
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    121
    This tropical wave has started to get better organized this evening. We may see named either tonight or tomorrow.

  8. #18
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Location
    Central, NJ
    Posts
    1,082
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    27
    Oh yeahhhh... LET'S GO BABY!!!


    Think positive... think positive...

  9. #19
    Excellent news for I am driving down to the outer banks from Jersey, and maybe even hit up Florida to visit some family if I budget like I plan too, so fingers crossed on the gas prices and good swells. I don't want to have to start robbing banks and change my name to Bodie in order to get to Bells Beach for the fifty year storm.