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Thread: NYC Hurricane?

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
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    Long Island
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    NYC Hurricane?

    Just wanted to mention that several tropical models are pointing towards a Cat 1 or 2 Hurricane making landfall in NYC, Jersey or New England this weekend. Not sure if anyone is following this or not, but thought I'd throw it out there on the table. Could spoil a potentially epic weekend of surf for Long Island. Time will tell...

  2. #2
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    Jul 2007
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    Long Beach
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    I think it's actually the season's first Nor'easter like storm, hence the huge swell heights, and NE-Easterly flow. It's been brewing for awhile off the Carolinas, I think the system stretches as far as Florida. Micah will have to correct us on this.

  3. #3
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    Rockaway Beach, NY / VA Beach, VA
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    I think I just went myself a little. It wouldn't be the first time, but this time was especially nice.

    - Vic

  4. #4
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    Jun 2008
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    I was actually referring to the low that's over Hispaniola right now. (#93L, soon to be Tropical Storm Kyle by Wednesday I would assume). As it breaks away from the islands and westerly sheer relaxes, it has the potential to quickly become a hurricane, possibly as strong as a 2 or 3, before it comes barreling up the East coast into New England.

    As for the other system off the Carolina coast, that could also take on some tropical characteristics, if not a hybrid type system, and back West into the Carolinas late in the week. Lots to watch and a potentially dangerous situation for the NE with the hurricane. Tons of swell, not so sure about those winds though...

  5. #5
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    Here are the current model predictions:


  6. #6
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    Jun 2008
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    I see the GFDL has gone much further east along the lines of the GFS, which is surprising due to the fact that of any of the models, the GFS always seem to be the most out of touch with tropical systems since it doesn't play into all the warm water and heat energy stored up. Guess we'll see with future runs and how this other low developing off the SE coast shapes up, as well as the stregnth and position of the high. I just don't buy into that atlantic escape route.

  7. #7
    the most wee wood c outta it iz just more cont. easterly swell and ne windz...the chancez uv a hurricane running us over up here, at hurricane strength, iz just very rare...it's 99% likely uv being just x-tra tropical @ that point.

  8. #8
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    Jul 2007
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    Long Beach
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    I'm sorry, I didn't know you were talking about 93L.

    There is talk of it being hurled towards the EC, but I have a gut feeling that's it's going to be an extratropical system, which is fine, those bring sizable waves as well, we just have to keep an eye on the winds.

    Considering the shape of many NY sandbars at this point, what are we closing out at these days? Head high? ; ) Oh, okay. 6 feet.

  9. #9
    that's funny u bring up the sandbar state spongah...i remember when this place usta fire @ multiple spots, very reliable...it seemz everywhere'z shutdown now...there'z only a handful uv breaks left on the island, and they're mostly pointbreaks out east and long beach...longbeach alwayz seemz 2 be rideable and can handle anysize swell, and it's usually never really that huge, even when it's overhead...it's one uv the only dpendable areas on the island with an east swell and ne windz...

  10. #10
    wow, i c whatcha tawkn' about spackledust...i wuz more concerned with the immediate future, but that disturbance IS indeed 4casted to move up towardz us, which shood provide surf for quite sum time. besidez the swell we have this whole week from the low...