tough call and a gamble i think. these types of swells are notorious for getting skunked. we ahve a wind swell and then heavy offshores starting early. by morning it COULD be blown flat or like knee high. it's all about he winds. If it starts later and is less then forecast (NOAA is saying 20 to 25 w/35 gusts), then it looks better. if the winds hold and star when currently forecast, then you gotta be prepared to be disappointed.
i hear what you are saying about the skunk factor. but i am feeling as if something might show through. biggest problem i see is tides. by the time the tides starts moving in our favor it really should be dropping fast, swell size that is. but this morning was more then what i was thinking it would be, although still just waist high, dumpy, no form,... but it was ridable.
And I saw...There is/was a push out there this morning, and if we get those reinforcement winds through the day on Sat. and into the evening, It might end up being a great... Log day at least, by 11/12? on Sunday. ......Bright clear skys, and clean,..man it sooo makes all the difference when it is clean. small swells show through so well with with good offshores.
So lets hold out hope on this one, and might be better then just bringing the Log.