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  1. #1

    Exclamation African Wave Train

    I know it's kind of soon to speculate, but 99L seems to have a good shot at becoming a Storm and to possibly give us swell next week. Most of the computer models also develop the wave behind it. Any thoughts?!

  2. #2
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    The shear and SAL in the atlantic basin are going to tear this storm apart. The next one however might have a better chance. This is the time of the year where all the models get a little crazy with the tropical waves coming off of africa so be informed and watch each wave closely.



    Last edited by ecoastprock; Aug 10, 2009 at 11:14 PM.

  3. #3
    I heard it had a bit of dust to its north to contend with, but that shear was expected to remain around 10kts for at least the next 48 to 72 hours, that would be favorable for slow development. Although that was several hours ago.
    It has lost some convection, but now seems to have a closed surface circulation. If it can refire some storms this evening and maintain them, we may have T.D. Two by tommorow afternoon, but then again even if it does, it's got ways to go before we can think about swell. It's hard not to get exited this time of year and I'm BORED!
    Last edited by kook95; Aug 11, 2009 at 12:04 AM.

  4. #4
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    fingers crossed and pray to the gods!!!!!

  5. #5
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    Its all a bunch of gibberish to me. I'll just wait until I see several bars and green.

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  7. #7
    T.D. TWO, going by the NHC's projected path, it seems like it will go north of the Islands meaning definite swell, if it can fight the dry air and strengthen.

  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by kook95 View Post
    T.D. TWO, going by the NHC's projected path, it seems like it will go north of the Islands meaning definite swell, if it can fight the dry air and strengthen.
    Yes, stoked, we are likely to see Ana named in the next couple of days... But, it needs to pick up a lot more strength before it sends us anything significant from way over there.

  9. #9
    My guess is it will go north and out to sea starting this weekend. I wish it would stick the same heading for a bit. It is early, but the NHC is projecting a northern turn on the 5day map. Typically in the past, that means the northeast will get a large fetch, but a no go for the south east. It will be way too far north of PR and that is out of our window. Looks like this high sitting over us is going to steer it way out. We actually could see a little bump but don't cash in on it.
    Last edited by bfloyd; Aug 11, 2009 at 06:18 PM.

  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by bfloyd View Post
    My guess is it will go north and out to sea starting this weekend. I wish it would stick the same heading for a bit. It is early, but the NHC is projecting a northern turn on the 5day map. Typically in the past, that means the northeast will get a large fetch, but a no go for the south east. It will be way too far north of PR and that is out of our window. Looks like this high sitting over us is going to steer it way out. We actually could see a little bump but don't cash in on it.
    The closest high pressure is over Louisiana and Mississippi (http://tinyurl.com/b7bm6) , that would be close enough to affect goings in the middle of the atlantic?

    Well at least weather underground has it both strengthening and with a 2/3 chance of coming right towards us.