Looking at the buoy west of Bermuda, the long period swells started to show on thursday morning. By my calculations this means it should start hitting the Outer Banks on Friday morning, and then fill into Delmarva by late morning/midday, then up into Jersey.

The Swellinfo model seems to place the swell arrival a little bit ahead of other sources, but I think it seems pretty on point. In any case, the long period swell will start filtering in through the day on Friday. If the swells dont hit first thing in the morning, don't call the swell a bust... they will be coming, the timing might just be off a few hours or so.