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  1. #31
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
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    VB/OBX
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    yeah what would you say about it Micah Sklut?

  2. #32
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Location
    Virginia Beach
    Posts
    445
    MooseKnuckle is right guys, you should listen to him.

  3. #33
    ya, mooseknuckle is spot on - it appears Ida is going to continue passing over land, even as wind shear increases to 50 mph and weakens it to a low that will pass out over into the Atlantic and start moving north along the coast. if that happens it will definitely gain strength over the Atlantic again. it also appears that the stationary front over the mid-US/NE is going to move out leaving high pressure in its wake, which will cause those really strong NE winds, similar to a nor'easter. this is all based on long term models, which means it could still not happen as predicted, but most of the models put Ida remnants going out into the atlantic eventually. should be a lot like a nor'easter.

    http://www.wunderground.com/modelmaps/maps.asp

  4. #34
    actually it looks like that stationary low over the mid-us right now is going to combine with the low that Ida becomes, creating a really strong low and a big pressure gradient! So, ya, 20 - 30 mph NE winds sounds spot on for thursday on
    Last edited by capesurfer; Nov 10, 2009 at 03:12 AM. Reason: misquote

  5. #35
    Join Date
    May 2008
    Location
    ocmd
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    also the high pressure off the canadian maritime will cause the system to hopefully stall off shore pumping us up

  6. #36
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Location
    South Jersey
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    101 on IDA:
    Reminants of IDA is moving north, to northeast, to finally east the next day or so. The actual low pressure system itself stays intact and remerges off the georgia coast pushed off by the upcoming cold front. The warm air ahead of the front (SE winds) combinded with the tropical moisture still associated with IDA will slowly move generally NE towards Nova Scotia, causing mucho fetch for the entire east coast. If the low is far off the coast enough the N-NNW tailwinds behind could be more offshore at some spots. Hence closer the storm, more N-NE winds closer to the coast. This all depends on timing of the cold front....some models have IDA almost stalling off OBX for a few days. Only time will tell...

    At the same time, a wave north of puerto rico is showing some nice fetch, but any swell will be underneath the major storm's effects(IDA). Either way, this is an east coast swell event you do not want to miss! Wait for the winds!

    Hope my 2 cents informs some, from my experience at least, hope it helps.
    Micah, looks like some need a video forcast!Ha

  7. #37
    Not to jinx it - but it's sure nice to have a thread with intelligent people who have some idea about what they're discussing. It seem's to me winds wont be offshore for most of the event around MD/DE. It'll definitely be worth a 6 hour drive to find some favorable winds and rock bottoms.

  8. #38
    Amen, good thread, let's just hope the water temp readings hold true so no one freezes their tosies cause I might be hitting a long Island early and it's worth the toll money for the right winds. Five degree difference from Jersey though?

  9. #39
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Location
    Brick Township, New Jersey, United States
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    686
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    Quote Originally Posted by davincimoon View Post
    Amen, good thread, let's just hope the water temp readings hold true so no one freezes their tosies cause I might be hitting a long Island early and it's worth the toll money for the right winds. Five degree difference from Jersey though?
    most likely pretty chilly. i'm just on the border to switch over to 5mil booties and gloves (i like being toasty) and im in jersey. so i'd bring the extra rubber

  10. #40
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Location
    Green Room
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    Anyone know how Ida and the invest that is off of Georgia/Florida now are going to interact?