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  1. #1

    Whats with the Forecasts Shifting so much??

    seriously guys this is ridiculous. every single day the forecasts shifts so dramatically. whats the deal with that? why is long range forecasting so difficult for the gulf coast?

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Oct 2009
    Location
    North Wildwood ,Nj
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    3,080
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    5
    Its not just the Gulf Coast. Mid Atlantic reports have been changing everyday too for long term forcasting.

  3. #3
    whats up with that?

  4. #4
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Lewes, DE
    Posts
    5,377
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    extended day forecasts on the east coast are largely based off of the computer model guidance, since the storms are coming in from the west and generating quick shots of swell. The models may shift the storm tracks with each update and thus the forecasts correspond to these shifts.

    The west coast is a bit different, since the swells generally taking several days before they actually arrive at a particular destination, and thus you will see less variability in the 2-4 day west coast forecasts.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Location
    wrightsville beach
    Posts
    61
    Thursday [knee to waist] [clean / fairly clean] [flat to knee] [clean / fairly clean]
    Surf: Knee to thigh high SW none for the morning. This fades into the flat range for the afternoon with occasional 3 to 4 times overhead high sets.
    Conditions: Clean with N winds 15-20kt in the morning decreasing to 10-15kt in the afternoon.

    this is the forecast for st george's island...this has to be wrong, right?? 3-4x overhead? haha, lets see that

  6. #6
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Lewes, DE
    Posts
    5,377
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    121
    yep, thats definitely wrong. I'll look into it.

  7. #7
    whats a good website for gulf of mexico offshore conditions? does noaa have any good info?

    any surf cams for sarasota or mantee counties?

  8. #8
    check gulfster... they have a tab with cams. Not any good quality shots though. It'd be nice to have a couple like the ones on surfguru. They usually post a daily pic of AMI too.

  9. #9
    check out muckyduck.com/webcam.htm very high quality