According to the National Center for Atmospheric Research, environmental factors are more conducive to hurricane development this year than in 2005, when there was a record 28 storms with winds of 38 mph or higher... one of which became Katrina. The average is 11 named Atlantic storms. This year the prediction is between 15 and 20 named storms. Most storms this year are predicted to develop between the West Coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.... this tends to be the wave makers for us. Storms that develop in the Gulf or even Western Caribbean are less likely to bring us surf.