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  1. #11
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Location
    Monmouth Beach, NJ
    Posts
    2,441
    I got a few waist to belly high fun ones on the log yesterday, so the forecast for here wasn't far off at all. A lot of it depends on how your local works during different tides. Just because the swell is forecast to be thigh to waist high, doesn't mean you won't get down to the beach and it be unrideable due to the tide. You might get skunked, but in a couple hours, there could be a half dozen guys out at the same spot having fun.

  2. #12

    wind

    Just really disappointed in the wind around OCMD. Suppose to be offshore all day. It did everything but that.

  3. #13
    Dude weather and waves are not an exact science, and are ever changing.

  4. #14
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    441
    Images
    25
    See the issue im having is that I have this site set to my homepage... so basically every other hour i see how the future outlook changes and whatnot... And seeing a 6 foot swell coming next wednesday, last night, then waking up and seeing it change to ankle slappers makes a tear roll down my face. Im by no means saying its anyones fault and i know that future forecasts have probably a zero percent chance of actually showing up... Im just expressing my sorrow

  5. #15
    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Lewes, DE
    Posts
    5,377
    Images
    121
    its the nature of the beast, relying greatly on the weather models at this point...

    after, a while, you realize that the computer models 3,5,etc. days out aren't very reliable (especially for the quick moving East Coast systems pushing off the coast), and so it is required to stay on top of the updates.

    There are many approaches that are on the to-do list, that will make the Swellinfo forecasts more intelligent... I'm really excited about rolling these out down the line, but it will take some time to get there. So many things to do!

  6. #16
    There always seems to be a swell headed our way "at the end of the week". It seems to be that way on all forecasting sites. I think we, as surfers, are a little too optimistic about the computer models 3-5 days out.

  7. #17
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    441
    Images
    25
    Quote Originally Posted by Swellinfo View Post
    its the nature of the beast, relying greatly on the weather models at this point...

    after, a while, you realize that the computer models 3,5,etc. days out aren't very reliable (especially for the quick moving East Coast systems pushing off the coast), and so it is required to stay on top of the updates.

    There are many approaches that are on the to-do list, that will make the Swellinfo forecasts more intelligent... I'm really excited about rolling these out down the line, but it will take some time to get there. So many things to do!
    Yeah, Mr. Swellinfo, your site is absolutely amazing, its my homepage and therefore is what i see every other hour. And I love the setup and of everything and I eagerly wait for new videos and pictures to check out. But im just sayin I have to stop getting so excited about swells 6 days in advance. I just have to begin training myself

  8. #18
    Quote Originally Posted by 34thStreetSurfing View Post
    Yeah, Mr. Swellinfo, your site is absolutely amazing, its my homepage and therefore is what i see every other hour. And I love the setup and of everything and I eagerly wait for new videos and pictures to check out. But im just sayin I have to stop getting so excited about swells 6 days in advance. I just have to begin training myself
    I should point you to this thread: http://www.swellinfo.com/forum/showthread.php?t=8219

  9. #19
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Location
    milton delaware
    Posts
    1,408
    Images
    262
    Quote Originally Posted by jbird View Post
    Just really disappointed in the wind around OCMD. Suppose to be offshore all day. It did everything but that.
    yesterday was crazy in OCMD...offshore before 7 a.m. and after 6 p.m with a nice solid seabreeze in between. Makes sense...water temps in the 60s inland temps hit 90. Warm air rises, air from somewhere has to fill its place. Models have difficulties with sea breeze becuase its really a micro-scale phenomenon.