gulf threat - gustav

Discussion in 'Mid Atlantic' started by Swellinfo, Aug 27, 2008.

  1. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    I've noticed that the media has not put too much emphasis on potential threats to New Orleans from Gustav, but I know everyone is thinking about it. The latest track from the NHC, puts Gustav at a CAT 3 heading right towards the SE Louisianan coast on labor day. Its certainly too early to hit any panic buttons, but I'm sure the media will jump on this in the coming days if the track remains consistent.

    I"m sure there is a lot of political/economic weight being pushed around here to the media with the threat of oil prices rising due to potential damage to the gulf of mexico offshore oil rigs. I'm sure there is some pressure to be conservative on the potential danger at this point.


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  2. Lumpy

    Lumpy Well-Known Member

    267
    Aug 28, 2006
    Heard a report this AM about gas prices going up 10% over the holiday weekend because of the storm threat and the holiday itself
     

  3. PatSayJack

    PatSayJack Well-Known Member

    205
    Aug 20, 2008
    Go fill up the tank now peopleee...its about to get realll ugly.
     
  4. Aguaholic

    Aguaholic Well-Known Member

    Oct 26, 2007
    Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal said he could declare a state of emergency by Thursday and warned residents to be prepared.
     
  5. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    Thats a good thing. Residents should figure out the evacuation plans now rather than later...
     
  6. swellinfo OG

    swellinfo OG Active Member

    42
    May 20, 2006
    even if it goes up 10-15% today, it will still be cheaper than it was a couple weeks ago
     
  7. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    $3.50 x 1.15 (15%) = $4.03

    Hopefully we dont have to see a $0.53 increase.
     
  8. Dawn_Patrol

    Dawn_Patrol Well-Known Member

    433
    Jan 26, 2007
    IMO, they shouldn't be emphasizing NOLA - not yet anyway -
    I think putting a line at the center of the 5 day out cone is a mistake. It emphasizes a line when the AVERAGE Hurricane Center forecasting error for 5 days out is 250 miles and 40 miles per hour. That line is about 10 miles wide when by the NHC's own best assessment of their accuracy, they don't know whether Gustav is headed for Texas, LA, MISS, ALA, or the FLA panhandle.
     
  9. El Porto

    El Porto Well-Known Member

    151
    Dec 28, 2007
    I think you may be a little off with regards to the motives of the media. I think its likely that they are just more focused on the DNC.
     
  10. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    i was just observing that I'm not hearing the potential threat being mentioned. This is probobally a good thing, since there is a lot of uncertainty at this point. But, I think there is a certain amount of carefulness in the way the media has to express such threats, since it can create a lot of buzz.
     
  11. wavehunter

    wavehunter Well-Known Member

    142
    Dec 18, 2007
    Just now on the news they had a warning that the price of gasoline may spike to $5 or more because of this hurricane just like it did from Katrina because of a pause in production by the refinery and oil digging..... The gulf coast states get the worst of it but that is never good news even for us.
     
  12. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    forecasters and media are now starting to talk about the very dangerous potential.
     
  13. Dawn_Patrol

    Dawn_Patrol Well-Known Member

    433
    Jan 26, 2007
    Its a really tough decision for the emergency officials to make..there and here..when a bad one ever comes our way.

    The Delmarva peninsula (on a crowded weekend) has one of the longest evacuation times on the east coast...36 hours...becuase the traffic modellers believe tourists from DC/balt/Phil will go all the way home when the evacuation order is given (not just to like a shelter in salisbury etc.) and everyone knows there are massive bottlenecks on 404/50 I-95 etc.

    Think about where a hurricane would be 36 hours before it gets NEAR Ocean City...at 15 mph forward speed, thats 500 miles south of here like off Georgia. In other words, when people would have to start evacuating to make it all the way home, the storm is so far away its path is super uncertain...
     
  14. jtblue18

    jtblue18 Well-Known Member

    56
    Aug 28, 2008
    Anyone takin this?

    Ok, so the obvious points have been brought up. I understand gas prices will go up. I understand that LA, New O. may get hit. So the real question and concern is will Gustov be a decent ground swell and safe enough to rip on? Just saw a report that be O-Head so anyone else gunna take the risk?
     
  15. surferboi0911

    surferboi0911 Well-Known Member

    262
    Apr 18, 2007
    cat 3...this things gettin serious

    heads up gulf coast........



    and for everyone else, fill up your tanks now lol
     
  16. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    west coast of florida will get some serious swell with stiff offshore winds...
     
  17. Chris Joyner

    Chris Joyner Moderator

    690
    May 23, 2006
    A very serious threat now!
     
  18. Aguaholic

    Aguaholic Well-Known Member

    Oct 26, 2007
    Holy 5hit!!!!!!!!!!!
     
  19. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    even if gustav hits to the west of new orleans, the greatest storm surge will be in the Northeast quadrant of the storm, so I'm wondering the influence here....
     
  20. swellinfo OG

    swellinfo OG Active Member

    42
    May 20, 2006
    i heard currently the situation is mandatory evacuation but... well if everyone leaves like they should, and no one is left on their roof for a night... what will everyone hate on GW for? oh wait i know, he didnt haul in any sandbags with his bare hands lol. what a jerk that guy is.