Horrendous forecast!

Discussion in 'Northeast' started by shark-hunter, Jun 12, 2013.

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  1. Jun 12, 2013 #1
    shark-hunter

    shark-hunter Well-Known Member

    1,093
    Apr 29, 2012
    According to Swellinfo this morning at the 6:00am update, it was forecasted to be FLAT on east facing rhode island breaks today. LOL....Try Solid chest high.

    S/SSW swell 6.2 feet at 9 seconds at station 44097 doesn't = flat.

    Can the owner of this site explain this to me? Does a slight degree in direction make the difference. Is that what the computer model is miscalculating?
     
    shark-hunter, Jun 12, 2013
    shark-hunter, Jun 12, 2013
  3. Jun 12, 2013 #2
    ihatelongboarders

    ihatelongboarders Well-Known Member

    1,217
    Dec 13, 2007
    i woke up to way more swell then i expected in jersey today. seems like this pulse was a bit stronger than forecasted everywhere.
     
    ihatelongboarders, Jun 12, 2013
    ihatelongboarders, Jun 12, 2013

  5. Jun 12, 2013 #3
    ihatelongboarders

    ihatelongboarders Well-Known Member

    1,217
    Dec 13, 2007
    obligatory: shut up it's a free site, go pay for surfline dweeb.
     
    ihatelongboarders, Jun 12, 2013
    ihatelongboarders, Jun 12, 2013
  6. Jun 12, 2013 #4
    Gilman Photography

    Gilman Photography Well-Known Member

    227
    Feb 21, 2012
    haha everyone who checked the forecasts this morning in jerz didnt go out at least around me so i had solid overhead peelers with only one other guy out for a number of hours
     
    Gilman Photography, Jun 12, 2013
    Gilman Photography, Jun 12, 2013
  7. Jun 12, 2013 #5
    Erock

    Erock Well-Known Member

    2,257
    Aug 6, 2011
    Under forecasted down here too. It dropped off quick, but there were some solid chest-high+ sets up until around 9am.


    And don't complain about it, barely anyone out where I was too. Consider it a gift from Swellinfo--culling the lazy.
     
    Erock, Jun 12, 2013
    Erock, Jun 12, 2013
  8. Jun 12, 2013 #6
    Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    5,504
    May 19, 2006
    Fine line between south and east facing breaks...
    Check both of them. As you can see the south facing forecast shows plenty of swell - chest high.
    http://www.swellinfo.com/surf-forecast/newport-rhode-island

    The swell itself was SSW, so thats why for east facing breaks, its was forecasted to be smaller.
     
    Last edited: Jun 12, 2013
    Swellinfo, Jun 12, 2013
    Swellinfo, Jun 12, 2013
  9. Jun 12, 2013 #7
    shark-hunter

    shark-hunter Well-Known Member

    1,093
    Apr 29, 2012
    I guess that's one way to look at it :) :)
     
    shark-hunter, Jun 12, 2013
    shark-hunter, Jun 12, 2013
  10. Jun 12, 2013 #8
    shark-hunter

    shark-hunter Well-Known Member

    1,093
    Apr 29, 2012
    Yeah You're usually so spot on so I was just wondering. Good thing I checked everything out just in case. I think a few degrees in direction makes all the difference. Hard to forecast when it's borderline on the degree of direction.
     
    shark-hunter, Jun 12, 2013
    shark-hunter, Jun 12, 2013
  11. Jun 12, 2013 #9
    Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    5,504
    May 19, 2006
    What spot are you referring to?
    Rhode Island's coast varies so much, there are a lot of breaks that aren't exactly facing south or east facing.
    The more east facing the break, most likely it was smaller, unless you were surfing somewhere like Ruggles which sticks out and is exposed completely to the south.

    So, for the SSW swells, you should keep this in mind... Use the south facing forecast as the gauge for best spots, and consider that the breaks tucked in will be smaller. I was contemplating getting rid of the east facing forecast to remove this specific confusion, but some users said that it really helped them. Maybe its a good idea, or maybe the east facing forecast should allow more SSW energy in...
     
    Swellinfo, Jun 12, 2013
    Swellinfo, Jun 12, 2013
  12. Jun 12, 2013 #10
    shark-hunter

    shark-hunter Well-Known Member

    1,093
    Apr 29, 2012
    Gotcha
    I wasn't at ruggles. I prefer beach break as long as it's not closing out or a groundswell is in the water That of course can pose a challenge sometimes with our limited amount of beach breaks. lol....then it's off to the rocks
    You're right. If you look at a map, there's nothing truly east facing except for pilgr and the dock They all face ese or se in gansett. Complicated geography to say the least. Even within the same beach you can have a difference. Gansett Town beach being a classic example. North end can be very different than south end in these type of swells
    I think I've finally got it dialed down.
     
    Last edited: Jun 12, 2013
    shark-hunter, Jun 12, 2013
    shark-hunter, Jun 12, 2013
  13. Jun 12, 2013 #11
    nynj

    nynj Well-Known Member

    5,128
    Jul 27, 2012
    Where were you? Not the actual break. Just North or South?
    I'm in Monmouth. I check a few spots this morning and got out for a bit. It was fun, but nothing close to solid overhead.

     
    nynj, Jun 12, 2013
    nynj, Jun 12, 2013
  14. Jun 12, 2013 #12
    surfsolo

    surfsolo Well-Known Member

    809
    Apr 1, 2009
    Exactly. SSE swell today on LI was chest at best....
     
    surfsolo, Jun 12, 2013
    surfsolo, Jun 12, 2013
  15. Jun 12, 2013 #13
    windswellsucks

    windswellsucks Well-Known Member

    520
    Oct 20, 2007
    +1 at least for nj, it was chest to shoulder... did not see anything OH today or yesterday
     
    windswellsucks, Jun 12, 2013
    windswellsucks, Jun 12, 2013
  16. Jun 12, 2013 #14
    Gfootr

    Gfootr Well-Known Member

    538
    Dec 26, 2009
    It was if you're only 5 feet tall.
     
    Gfootr, Jun 12, 2013
    Gfootr, Jun 12, 2013
  17. Jun 12, 2013 #15
    Gilman Photography

    Gilman Photography Well-Known Member

    227
    Feb 21, 2012
    i was south heres a pic of a medium sized wave where i was
    Chris Huch 1.jpg
     
    Gilman Photography, Jun 12, 2013
    Gilman Photography, Jun 12, 2013
  18. Jun 12, 2013 #16
    njsurfer42

    njsurfer42 Well-Known Member

    3,550
    Nov 9, 2009
    ding, ding, ding! we have a winner!

    it pays to remember that this site is a reference, a tool, to be used in making your own judgement calls. it's not a sign flashing, "go surf here!"
     
    njsurfer42, Jun 12, 2013
    njsurfer42, Jun 12, 2013
  19. Jun 12, 2013 #17
    Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    3,106
    Jan 5, 2009
    Surfed that area (RI) again today as well....solid waist high to chest high sets and that was on the east facing stuff to get protection from that stiff WNW wind. The water was nice and clear...you could see plenty of detail on the boulders that were BARELY below the surface on the smaller waves.
     
    Last edited: Jun 12, 2013
    Mitchell, Jun 12, 2013
    Mitchell, Jun 12, 2013
  20. Jun 12, 2013 #18
    nynj

    nynj Well-Known Member

    5,128
    Jul 27, 2012
    Looks fun... I should've worked in South Jersey today

     
    nynj, Jun 12, 2013
    nynj, Jun 12, 2013
  21. Jun 12, 2013 #19
    bassplayer

    bassplayer Well-Known Member

    309
    Oct 2, 2012
    I was south too this morning and had a blast. Even saw a bigger guy paddle out in nothing but trunks.
     
    Last edited: Jun 12, 2013
    bassplayer, Jun 12, 2013
    bassplayer, Jun 12, 2013
  22. Jun 13, 2013 #20
    windswellsucks

    windswellsucks Well-Known Member

    520
    Oct 20, 2007
    nice! looks better than it was up here
     
    windswellsucks, Jun 13, 2013
    windswellsucks, Jun 13, 2013
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