So who doesn't think its going to be 2'-4' Thursday morning? MSW calls for 2'-2.5'... Why the difference all the time? I always find it to be in between the two reports, to be honest... Anyway, really looking forward to, hopefully, a decent dawn patrol that morning.
I really enjoy the technology that is at our finger tips and the vast amount of knowledge one can attain through education of science . Of course it is easier to side with the masses and complain about the accuracy, or lack there of in the reports furnished in great detail. Nature is mostly unpredictable due to the constantly changing and evolving environment it creates. I'm usually stunned by how often the reports are correct , but then again I'm just an under achiever quite capable of much less than I normally get away with. I hope you get some good rides ! live in the moment and think about suckers like me who won't get out on Thursday.
Thursday afternoon and evening looking even better in NE. I'll be out all damn day. I'll gladly take 24 inches of stoke. Too much time getting a tan lately, too little time getting rides. It's come down to me paddling out in the bay and hollering at boats to rip a wake for me so I can catch a lil bump. Most of them have no clue how to make a good wake so I can't even get a man-made ride. Let's go Ma! Meatloaf!! Never know what she's doing in there...
Thanks man... I do have to say, with today's technology, (various surf report websites, live beach cameras, etc) it is quite amazing how often they are correct and how incredible it is to be in your house, staring at the beach... but they should be correct with all the technology out there. I just never understood why, IMO, Swellinfo generally projects a higher swell height than most other surf forecasts...
Search for posts by SwellInfo Administrator. Over the years, he has explained how difficult swell forecasting on the East Coast is ad infinitum.
I've found more often than not that Swellinfo under calls most swells, at least where I live. I know that knee high + forecast with light wind and an incoming tide is gonna be fun. That's the way it should be in my book.
Ditto. MSW is wrong 50-60 percent of the time with a forecast a day or two away. SI is only wrong about 20%.
Funny thing about seaweed too is that you'll find significant size difference for neighboring spots...there are two spots within a couple miles of each other, both beachbreaks, and they're always calling for one to be like 2 ft bigger than the other, and I really don't think the bathymetric profiles differ that drastically b/t the two spots.
. MSW doesn't know what's it's talking about. Yeah I don't use msw at all. It's surfline and swellinfo. I find them to be very similiar in forecasting accuracy. Surfline is awesome because you get an actual report with camera shots from multiple spots! Saves so much gas. And a report is obviously way better than a forecast when you wake up in the morning and are deciding whether to go or not! I don't understand who would pay for surfline premium though in new england? Who would pay for a forecast 4 days out in Rhode Island? You get everything you need for free.....cams/reports/forecasts for 3 days out.
Don't read the forecasted surf report; but learn to read the tide, wind, swell direction, and buoy reports. Most are live reports that you can determine where swell may be based on above data. Or just watch a live feed and hope that once you drive the 5 minutes to 1 hour the swell you see on the screen will still be there. Or consult a palm reader or Native American spiritual guide..... Or purchase a Delorean and go into the future and scout out the waves and then come back in time to report back in...but don't tamper with the time line! Bad juju!
Man, you younger dudes and novice types are wayyyyyyyyyyyyy too addicted and dependant on surf predictin' sites. Original thread gangster dude: Dude, you live in NJ, you're probably on summer vacation, it's friggin summer........just wake up and go to the friggin beach. Don't make it so dang complicated. You don't have to get validation from every website that offers predictions on future events. Just go. You'll win some and you'll lose some. The ocean can change in an instant. Seldom Seen: Nice Dog, man. Fur pups in da house. WOOF WOOF WOOF. All the furry kids say, " HOOOOO."
HOOOOO! Thank you sir, that's my pride and joy. And Drast, just for the record, agree w/ your first point and do all of those things, but I do like having the forecast to direct my attention to what may be coming a few days in advance.
Honestly the buoy is not very good at predicting what's going on at the beach. The block island buoy is 35 miles offshore and 3 foot at 8 seconds might be waist high or it might be flat. It's like flipping a coin. You never know.
True story. Our local buoy is pretty far off-shore, but it does help a bit. It will tell me if there are any waves out there, but then I have to check the tide, swell direction, wind speed, and wind direction to see if that means anything at the islands.
I remember when I first started surfing my folks still didn't even have internet yet. My buddy and I just checked the wind direction on the Weather Channel, went to the beach, and hoped for the best. Now I have a live forecast in the palm of my hand. Nuts man. Edit: the craziest part being that I'm not even old
When I've spent two weeks paddling into closeouts that barely cover the hair on the tops of my feet? Absolutely.