next wed and thurs.

Too far out to forecast anything with reasonable accuracy. so the answer is... maybe? The forecast will most likely decrease dramatically in size as we get closer too.

 

one could only hope

 

come on dude it's a freaking week away this isn't nostradamus.com

 

if the forecast stays exactly the same and the winds are west at 30+ knots, then yeah, it'll be clean. Good luck dropping in.

 

nearshore wave maps with wind direction out to 180 hours pretty much is. But i like gazing into the crystal ball as much as anyone

 

yeah, just like monmouth county was called to be chest high on thanksgiving 2 days out when there wasn't a line bigger than knee. kthx

 

http://lolabw1.surfline.com/servlet/surfMeteo?zoom=100&grb=wna&gs=waveBearing&tau=53&lat=39.189690821096804&lon=-74.28955078125&units=e&slat=39.189690821096804&slon=-74.28955078125&p=17

Yeah, next Wednesday around midday looks alright. I'm a temporary west coast transplant and don't know how storms exiting the east coast correspond to incoming swell. In the Northwest everything was always approaching us. More like nor'easters out here.

Anyone care to explain what a storm system leaving the east coast would mean for swell heights in the days following?

 

its not so much the storm leaving is what creates the swell, it more less cleans it up. Say theres a decent sized storm comes through creating some eh 1-2 ft over head chop, it goes through and so on, the next day it will most likely have off shores and shoulder to head high then the next day waist highish with semi off shores..then flat.

magicseaweed, which is almost always off, is calling 19ft 10 secs 37mph ssw winds with the swell coming from the south as well...looks like it will be super drifty sloppy, and most likely around head high...always take half off of what magicseaweed calls for

 

also, friday or saturday will most likely be the day to go.

 

"days" following? Oh MAN you ARE in for a rude awakening. Storms exiting the east coast will typically blow onshore/side hard for a day or so as it exits the coast. Find the lee of a jetty and you may have ridable surf during the storm passage. Typically in the winter the hard offshores clean up and then knock the swell down in within 24 hours after it exits the coast.

 

looks like some good S swell potential. Keep an eye on the updates.

 

is that right

 

now mgs is calling for 14.5ft at 9 seconds...just goes to show how it changes so quickly...just wait until monday or tuesday for a legit forecast

 

looks windy as hell wednesday with it lessening for thursday. i foresee....... epic surfing thursday morning.

-nostradamus