Mom co. Forecast questions - Micah

that's called keeping the web traffic up. its said to be liked by the advertisers.

 

agreed, you will see a day at the end the forecast, esp in winter that is head high and offshore, once a few days out it will drop in size, then a day out almost non existent... got to keep people coming back. i asked this question before and got the answer "models change" but SI only had the swell on the charts/

 

this time of year especially,go check the waves,and if it looks decent go

 

Keep in mind it is called a surf "forecast" and not a surf "report". I think SI does a pretty decent job.

 

Also, Ive probably had fun on more days with blue and red predictions than with green. Just sayin though, NOTHING substitutes standing on the sand and looking for yourself cause you just never know when the tide is just right for 45 mins and it ends up being fun on a day you thought was shot.

 

the color function is a gimmick for kooks who cant read numbers, its not part of a 'real forecast' but an overlay generated from wind data and the angle the wind is blowing compared to the coast. The closer the angle is to 90, the better and it is green. There is likely an angle/number set that corresponds to a color. however this ignores the fetch. If the wind is a 10knt onshore and locally generated with short fetch it may not hurt wave shape, however 10 knts onshore with a longer fetch could hurt wave shape.

So remember this, same wind speed and direction can lead to different sea states, surf reports cant really predict this as of yet from my experience. I could be wrong


Also, fronts move off the coast at different points and shift course and this changes up to the last moment when the front goes out to sea. this path is what makes the waves.

IE: If a front goes off the carolinas, jerz gets e or ene swell and w or nw offshores (better in southern end of state or LBI)
if it goes off Rhodey, jerz gets south swell with a ssw or sw wind cleanup (better in moco)

so yes models change, especially on trailing edge coasts that fronts leave from (as opposed to an arriving front as on the west coast)

the further out the swell is, the 'hotter' and 'bigger' it appears, this is always the case with every site I go to look. Surfline and surfnewsnetwork even have a disclaimer about how the forecasts that are a out a few days will normalize and become smaller


my point is if you had a clue about what really makes waves and weather you would see this color thing IS NOT important.

if you live far from the beach, i guess it sucks, but whining that its not accurate and the cams are down is such a 2014 white person gripe, get a grip. Learn to read a weather map and surf more so you can see the results of weather, or make a friend who lives close to the beach to get a real report, but lamenting the forecast for getting your hopes up and then dashing them is something for school children, not grown men

 

you are the one who cant read a surf forecast, but enjoy moco

 

i was gonna say, yea that guy is really nasty. he told me to die on one of my posts lol. but for real i dont understand why you have to get so sarcastic and mad who the **** cares if someone cant read a surf forecast or has questions? its like "omg i dont kno everything about surfing" blah blah so what

to the OP- i think tomaro will be surfable and thats all that matters

 

Even relying on charts and buoys can lead to missing a random session. Keep it simple, if you have the time to go, then go. Bring a board that will allow you to get some waves and make the most of it. 99% of the time I've found that if I am standing on the beach looking I will at least go out for 30 or 45 mins and catch a handful of waves. Very rarely will you leave the water wishing you never got in. I agree to dismiss the color thing...it just a visual for the site.

 

listen, I am not here trolling this thread, I kinda want the op to see how ridiculous his question was. an adult can figure things out, if you are relying on a free second-third hand data source for your decision making, you need to get a clue.

 

Just check www.surfersview.com if you aren't sure of the forecast. Fyi: the Monmouth beach cam is actually Loch Arbour.

 

Thesurfersview.com ...

 

Dude that doesn't work. Here you go....

http://thesurfersview.com/