2 questions, Surfline mentioned refraction possibly being a problem in Northern Monmouth County on Saturday which makes sense because that last groundswell we had it was flat and places North and South were firing. Tomorrow the groundswell is smaller than Sat, does a smaller groundswell equal less refraction? Also will the refraction on Saturday be as detrimental to the waves as the funky 16 second swell last month? I checked the nearest buoys and it said something like '3.6@16sec' and there was not a single wave in the ocean that entire day Bonus Topic: Only have a twin fin for this swell I lent my thruster to a buddy. Should I sack up and use it or go get a used thruster for Saturday? Thanks
I don't know the science sorry. I do know the spots. You should be fine. Get to the beach and check it. Moco should be good. Refraction might help its rideability imo. Watch the tides. Second topic. Up to you and your ability/boards ability. If you want to make it work you'll absolutely be fine. Slater can surf a door. If it's going to psyche you out and you know it already in your heart of hearts find another board pronto. Life is too short. Have fun bud.
Tomorrow should be a standard wind swell for most of the day. Sat period peaking at 13 to 14 sec may be high enough to skunk some areas of Monmouth co in my opinion. "Twinny? No one rides a Twinny on the north shore"
That's crazy that the buoy was that big last time and you saw nothing. Does that mean the lines connected so long they bent really far wide? Not sure how you could see nothing for swell with those numbers. Can anyone add to this?
http://www.surfline.com/surf-news/mechanics-long-beach-new-york_58972/ Hudson canyon/shelf. Although it's focus is on NY, This article touches on it starting on slide 18
From surfline: http://www.surfline.com/surfology/surfology_forecast2.cfm You're interested mostly in the section titled "Swell Period and Ocean Depth" Basically, the longer period a swell is the deeper that it begins to "feel" the bottom of the ocean. When it starts to feel the bottom the swell starts to bend (refract) and it also starts to lose energy. My guess would be that with the swell direction that the swell will have to run a long way on shelf before it gets to north moco and that it will lose a lot of it's energy along the way. I'm thinking this won't be an issue south of moco because those beaches point more south. It's a shame too, it knocks out some good long-period spots.
Slide 20 ties it up nicely, but I think the 120° swell direction is possibly chosen as the "worst case scenario". Will 135° be enough difference? Only one way to find out. (Go look)
I checked the surfline cams at work.belmar said poor to fair conditions and it was epic,spitting tube epic.Manasquan said good to epic and was in the orange and said 5-7ft.then the cam loaded and it was flat.there were some closeouts on the sand,but it wasn't 5-7ft.the cam didn't look towards the inlet jetty so maybe it was epic but I didn't see it. waves were pretty good today,i don't know what the period was I thought it was gonna be closeouts but it was on.there were a lot of crappy waves with the occasional diamond in the rough,which is why I paddled out.it was like 3-4 ft(waist to chest high) and out of nowhere a 6 footer would roll through,enough to stand in the tube and stick ur arms in the air(double overhead by si standards).I noticed this swell was breaking on an angle,not to smart when it comes to surf phsyics,all rights peeling to the inside of the ocean.instead of coming closer to shore,the waves were breaking further out and when u kick out ur like 200 yards offshore.it was high tide usually waves break closer but they were far out
I did 4 hours in central/south moco, and it was FUN in my book. I checked several spots, each different, but most looked fun. My arms were toast, so I decided to check far north moco for the hell of it. Like way way north. It was waist high at best. I was itching to ride my new mini Simmons, so I found an empty peak and surfed it for a while anyway, but it was nothing like the size a short distant south.
