New Tropical System to watch

"As of 7:00 pm EST Thu Nov 5 2015 ...
A large area of cloudiness and showers near the Leeward Islands
extending eastward for several hundred miles is associated with the
interaction of an upper-level trough and a tropical wave. Although
upper-level winds are forecast to be too strong for development over
the next couple of days, heavy rain is possible in the Leeward
Islands while the system moves through the area. By late in the
weekend, when the system is forecast to be near or north of Puerto
Rico, environmental conditions are forecast to become more
favorable, and some development of the disturbance is possible early
next week while it moves northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent"

 

As of 7:00 pm EST Fri Nov 6 2015 ...
A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the eastern
Caribbean Sea across the Lesser Antilles into the Atlantic is
associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a
west-northwestward moving tropical wave. Development, if any,
during the next day or two should be slow to occur. However,
environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable
by early next week, when the system is forecast to be near
Hispaniola or the southeastern Bahamas. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rains are possible over the Lesser Antilles, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next few
days.


* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium.. 40 percent

 

As of 1:00 pm EST Sat Nov 7 2015 ...
A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the
northeastern Caribbean Sea across the Lesser Antilles into the
Atlantic is associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough
and a west-northwestward moving tropical wave. There are no signs
of organization at this time. However, some gradual development of
this disturbance is possible by early next week when it is forecast
to be near or east of the Bahamas. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rains are possible over the Lesser Antilles, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next few
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium..50 percent

This could be the ticket buoys, and the last of the season.