2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Calls For Less Activity Than 2016

Hey, good to see you back today. I was wondering where you were??

Always good that is a slower hurricane season. guess it's time to get the supplies and put up shutters...

 

I'll belief it when I see it. Glad you two old farts are both doing well! Oh yeah, I guess I am old, too. HA

 

Also, predictions for a return to El Nino conditions by late summer/early fall as the Cape Verde hurricane season gets under way. Lots of shear in the Western Atlantic = few long trackers (swell makers).

 

yea but usually makes for a better winter on the EC with the cold fronts dipping lower from the arctic creating more NE swells as opposed to S swells

hurricane season is hype anyway, the real moneyshots are Noreasters from my memory

 

This activity of hurricane prediction is one NOAA should abandon. In all the years they have been doing so, and those that I read, they have always been 100% wrong. Always. They cannot accurately predict weather 3 days out or more; how the hell are they going to predict a whole hurricane season in April when the season starts June 1s and ends in November.
They must be hitting tequila shots at the office........

 

Even less than what Al Gore knows about "global warming"!!!

 

I agree with my older and sorta more esteemed colleague.

 

Speaking of esteemed colleagues, Betty does a better job telling us about hurricanes. Way mo' betta!!!

 

That's the truuf.

 

What exactly is the point of these long range seasonal predictions? Just to say 'Hey I was right' at the end? I mean I don't think it affects anybody's planning or anything. The only thing it might do is make somebody afeared or complacent neither of which is good. They are rarely if ever correct anyway and it changes absolutely nothing if they are or aren't. Who pays these people to sit in Colorado and make hurricane predictions? And who pays attention to them? At least the NHC is based in Miami.

 

Im not going to amp, Hurricanes are like waiting to see a unicorn in OCMD. We get mad shadow from the banks, our windows are small, meaning outside of burmuda means no waves jack. Most of the time they just mess up perfectly good ground swell. They also attract way to many kooks. But I love when it gets real big and the kooks eyes light up when there about to get caught on the inside of a bombing set. Next time you surf a big day watch people's eyes when there caught inside of a big top to bottom wave, you can tell who is experienced or not.

 

pretty shore they predicted a lot of storms last year and we didn't get a 1/4 of it.it is a prediction so,theyr never accurate,and being they said we wont get much we will probably get slammed with caines every weekend.

caines are rarely ever good,probably good in florida and obx,but northeast except mass and ri get long closeouts.only thing its really good for is stirring up the sand at the bottom so when the size drops they'll be a fun sandbar,on occasion not always.low pressures are the way to go.it downpoured here in nj all day,i havnt even checked the forecast,but I know we will have some good waves tomorrow

 

This was exactly my thought when i read mitchells post.

There's been some good cane swells, don't get me wrong. But there's also been a bunch that were way worse then expected. Plus, no matter how good or bad a cane swell is, it's crowded. Granted most guys are just buoys, but still. I'll take a big ol winter day everytime

 

The natural erosion of sand is north to south so when a hurricane hit's it really does a good flush of built-up sand. OCMD Sholes need to get flushed bad, they are shadowing south swells

 

If they predict fewer odds are this will be the year we get creamed by one.