Since Friday, I have been watching the buoy read between 2.5 at 17 seconds and 3.5 at 17 seconds up here in North Florida. The swell is slightly out of the southeast with light winds, but the waves are merely knee high and gutless. I have seen many a swell boasting the same stats bring fun waist to chest high, clean long waves, but this swell has brought f**k all. I don't claim to be an Einstein, but after years of tracking swell, phenomenon like this leave me scratching my head. I've accounted for the tide and surfed during the best tidal conditions at my spots, with no wind to speak of while the buoy was reading as above, and nada. Crappy shore pound conditions. 1. decent long period swell, check 2. offshore or nominal winds, check 3. catching incoming tide, check 4. swell direction good, check. What am I missing here?
Your bouys could, quite simply, be reporting wrong data, for one. Winds in areas undetectable to you, may be blowing out the swell. Your memory of prior events may be failing you. Sh1t happens......
It's in process right now. Not at the spot I usually surf though, approximately 4 miles south of there though.
Every single wind fucast was wrong for this past Sat morning at TPTSNBN. It was sheer glass from sunup til 0900-ish. No idea why things were wrong, though. As well, the 'small long period swell' wasn't small (knee high is small), it was pleasantly chest-shoulder on sets, which I don't say is beeg, but shoulder high on a 6'2 human is fun waves. Anyways, I apologize because I realize that I've contributed absolutely zero to your treade, KKai