As of 4:20 pm EDT Sun Aug 20 2017 ... Satellite data indicate that a trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles north of the Dominican Republic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, with some strong winds on its northeast side. Environmental conditions are expected to be unfavorable for development of this system during the next day or two, but they could become slightly more conducive for development by midweek when the system is near the northwestern Bahamas or Florida. This system is expected to move west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
All we know for now down here, is that it's gonna rain. And be kinda windy. For a day or so. Maybe some sort of windchoppe, who knows?
haha....yeah if you live anywhere between CUBA and the mid atlantic, this may be headed your way....or nobody's way.
As of 2:00 pm EDT Mon Aug 21 2017 ... A trough of low pressure located near the central Bahamas continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward across the Bahamas and then turns northwestward or northward near Florida and the adjacent waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
2. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad trough of low pressure near the northwestern Bahamas remains limited. Any development of this system during the next few days should be slow to occur while it moves west-northwestward, and then turns northwestward or northward near Florida and the adjacent waters. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development by the weekend when the system begins to move northeastward over the western Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent
exactly what the GFS model is showing.....weak as it moves north along the SE coast, the strengthens well east of OBX
That ^^^ is a dream scenario, the little loop back down frosting on the cake. We are due for a good one.
