Hurricane Irma forms in Atlantic

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Aug 30, 2017.

  1. NICAfiend

    NICAfiend Well-Known Member

    534
    May 12, 2012
    As of now on Saturday at my beach it's showing 12ft @ 19 sec. I Don't even know what that is. And straight offshore.
     
  2. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    "
    It's probably a slight bias to the Euro, but the 5 day track is pretty similar regardless.

    new model runs:

    0zGFS slightly south of last run, but missed the NE Caribbean entirely, gets real close to the Outer banks on Sep 10 clips the outer banks as a cat 4, landfall near Virginia Beach Sep 10th.

    0z CMC misses Caribbean to the north, barely, Cat 4 in the central Bahamas Sept 8, weakens to cat 2, landfall in upper keys Sep 10, rides up through Nples, and Just west of Ft. Myers at the end of the run. "

    --flhurricane.com
     

  3. sheetglass

    sheetglass Well-Known Member

    186
    May 12, 2008
    I remember Hurricane Bill in 2009 (I think) having a similarly crazy forecast like this. Hopefully Irma stays offshore and takes a similar track.
     
  4. bokey

    bokey Member

    13
    Mar 10, 2014
    Forecast for Sunday, 9/10:

    22ft @ 18sec SSE
    Wind ESE @ 59mph, gusts up to 81mph

    Uhhh, wat.
     
  5. stinkbug

    stinkbug Well-Known Member

    746
    Dec 21, 2010
    Great swell. Andy Irons was in NJ for that one.
     
  6. frost

    frost Well-Known Member

    Jul 31, 2014
    that's what you call a bomb....best practice that duck dive and check leash connections
     
  7. Riley Martin's Disgruntled Neighbor

    Riley Martin's Disgruntled Neighbor Well-Known Member

    Aug 22, 2012
    I'm seeing 13.5 feet at 17 seconds for Sunday night with the wind blowing 60 MPH. I think I'll go with my 5'8 twinner that doesnt have a leash plug.
     
  8. Toonces

    Toonces Well-Known Member

    356
    Apr 25, 2016
    The forecast for next weekend up here looks absolutely sick. I'm guessing every surfer on the east coast will be at Ruggles.
     
  9. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    GFS models 06z take on Irma track this morning. This would be so perfect....tons of swell, no landfall.

    [​IMG]
     
  10. LI Waterman

    LI Waterman Well-Known Member

    60
    Dec 23, 2012
    Thats sick! was he shredding Belmar like the rest of the world?
     
  11. headhigh

    headhigh Well-Known Member

    Jul 17, 2009
    That's still a bit too close for comfort. I'd like to see it at least 100 miles to the east.

    Everybody got their chainsaws tuned up?
     
  12. sheetglass

    sheetglass Well-Known Member

    186
    May 12, 2008
    I think I remember reading he surfed in Manasquan. To be fair, I think he was doing an east coast promo tour thing, which happened to coincide with the swell. I don't believe he went too far out of his way to surf there. He was in OCMD some time prior.
     
  13. Riley Martin's Disgruntled Neighbor

    Riley Martin's Disgruntled Neighbor Well-Known Member

    Aug 22, 2012
    Garrett McNamara was at Ruggles and there were pros all over Rhode Island. There are a lot of places that can hold a big, long interval swell. If you want a crowd, hit Ruggles. At 10ft+ in groundswell the crowd thins substantially, and there are a lot of guys who can handle themselves in the water who will head out to be a buoy. Better hit warm winds for a 6'9!
     
  14. Toonces

    Toonces Well-Known Member

    356
    Apr 25, 2016
    Unfortunately, my "secret spot" isn't all that secret it appears. Last summer during a really good hurricane swell it was absolutely mobbed, cars with NY and Penn. plates. Unreal.

    I got some intel on a spot that's not really well known the other day but I have to do a recon before I hit it on a double-O day for the first time.

    I'll leave Ruggles to the pros and wanna-be's. If this forecast is even close to accurate, everyone and their mom is going to be out there, along with Surfer magazine, drones and who knows what else.
     
  15. xgen70

    xgen70 Well-Known Member

    785
    May 25, 2006
    "This would be so perfect....tons of swell, no landfall."

    I see (899!) which is so crazy. Only select spots on EC would be able to handle any swell of that size and period.
     
  16. stinkbug

    stinkbug Well-Known Member

    746
    Dec 21, 2010
    Manasquan and Sea Girt to be precise
     
  17. sheetglass

    sheetglass Well-Known Member

    186
    May 12, 2008
    Is it poor form to name spots on barrier islands with boat-only access? 'Cause I can think of one somewhere between South Carolina and New York in particular that might be pretty interesting to check out
     
  18. NICAfiend

    NICAfiend Well-Known Member

    534
    May 12, 2012
    Hell, I might even get to dust off my step up pintail. It's been a long, long time.
     
  19. Kanman

    Kanman Well-Known Member

    732
    May 5, 2014
    Never surfed anything bigger than 10'. But based on these models I might get that op. soon. Ready for mo swell.
     
  20. sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    Jun 17, 2013
    Boat trips during major swell events can be tricky. How and where to anchor, properre approach,etc. The boat could be dragged if there is no channel, or if the channel closes out and a big surge comes through. May want to have two boats, one that stays way outside with cold drinks and snacks and a radio, the other to get in and out.