Hurricane Irma forms in Atlantic

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Aug 30, 2017.

  1. Wavestrom

    Wavestrom Well-Known Member

    477
    Jul 5, 2014
    Sable Island will be blowing up.
     
  2. UnfurleD

    UnfurleD Well-Known Member

    Jul 13, 2016
    Canada is doomed according to latest forecaste model from tropicaltidbits
     

  3. frost

    frost Well-Known Member

    Jul 31, 2014
    From what I see looks to be several days of groundswells starting mid next week... sometimes those early days are the best imo
     
  4. cepriano

    cepriano Well-Known Member

    Apr 20, 2012
    I was very disappointed that I did not get to see andy and pete mendia.i remember that day very very well,biggest waves I ever seen in jersey,wasnt the best conditions there was a lot of closeouts but it was thee biggest I have seen here,a real hurricane swell.

    anyway I believe it was sunday,the biggest day,aug 29th I think.got there around 7 am thinking hey if the pros are coming to jers,this is going to be the place.squan was one of the few places that can hold the size,it was a solid 14' with 16'+ sets.

    I started surfing like 2006-2007 so bill was like the first real swell I ever seen,i didnt have the internet back then and didn't even know other people in nj surfed lol.it would be great to get another swell like that.

    and a few weeks before that we had a decent tropical storm swell,tropical storms were always good imo because most beaches can handle the size since its not a 15' swell.i surfed mb and I remember the water was at the rock wall,like u just walk down the steps and jump in the water from there,there was no sand lol.good times.i have a lot of camcorder footage from those days,the little tape that u put in the big tape to watch on the vcr.would be cool if u could convert that to a dvd or something
     
  5. cepriano

    cepriano Well-Known Member

    Apr 20, 2012
    the one main thing I love about surfing is there will always be waves
    I grew up street skating,and a lot of places I skated as a kid now have no skateboarding signs and other stuff like that.with surfing,there will never be a shortage of waves and places to ride them.

    100 years from now people will still be surfing,while the private sector will continue to demolish the woods to build new homes destroying bmx and mx trails and jumps.only way to stop surfing is to build a marina lol,but theres still plenty of ocean left
     
  6. Kyle

    Kyle Well-Known Member

    Sep 9, 2011
    Pollution? Couple places in Mexico I surfed as a kid I wouldn't dare surf now due to what is spilling out of the pipes into the water.
     
  7. imharri

    imharri Active Member

    31
    Dec 21, 2012
    the latest GFS run. Its a bad B-movie on SYFY...taking out Manhattan. The European model...Well I planned on remodeling the beach house in NC anyway...Still hoping for a turn that takes out Nepal
     
  8. surfrat6

    surfrat6 Active Member

    39
    Sep 21, 2011
    [​IMG]

    Sept 10th.... Yikes!! Hopefully it hooks out alot sooner!
     
  9. jaklsurfs

    jaklsurfs Well-Known Member

    501
    Apr 26, 2015
    The early swells are usually the best looking, after a few days of pounding surf the beachbreaks can get all weird ,sand washed out ,huge backwash,closeouts, all the stuff that makes beachbreaks so interesting.
     
  10. CJsurf

    CJsurf Well-Known Member

    Apr 28, 2014
    Irma is still a week away from us and the long range models could change a lot by then but is is worth noting that this morning's GFS models show something far worse than Sandy for NJ.

    GFS 192
    [​IMG]

    GFS 198
    [​IMG]
     
  11. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    "Morning model runs:

    0z Euro: Very close but just north of the Caribbean Islands Tues-Wed, Through the Central and northwest Bahamas sep 9-11th. Cat 4 landfall near Charleston, SC overnight Sep 11-12th.

    6z GFS: Misses Caribbean and Bahamas, turns north, closest approach to NC on sep 10 (faster than Euro), landfall near Atlantic City, NJ in the morning of Sep 10th. cat 3. and quickly moves out.

    HWRF has cat 4 north of the Caribbean islands, HMON as well.

    Canadian misses Caribbean and Bahamas and turns Irma out to sea (West of Bermuda, East of the US)

    The GFS Ensembles concentrate around NC/VA this morning.

    Two camps are faster moving storm GFS/GEFS that moves further north and the euro which has a slower moving storm, caught behind and further south. Euro also has a stronger storm and is much more dangerous for the Bahamas.

    Too soon to tell beyond 5 days, but looking better for the Eastern Caribbean islands, but mixed for the Bahamas, and east coast seems more likely than not for a landfall. Where is still up in the air, SC/NC/VA seems to be the current midpoint. But FL/GA and north of VA still have a high chance, but unless the timing drastically changes Florida seems less likely.

    Out to sea is still a possibility as well, more likely than Florida."---flhurricane.com
     
  12. MASurf

    MASurf Active Member

    26
    Aug 2, 2017
    Screen Shot 2017-09-02 at 12.46.06 PM.jpg 70 ft in atlantic city (according to magic seaweed)???? Biggest ever on east coast.
     
  13. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    Noon GFS model run. Mid atlantic landfall.

    [​IMG]
     
  14. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Looks like hits,heading to D.C. What a disaster
     
  15. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    I wonder what the 3 start rating means....but only one star later in the day when it drops to 20 feet. Gotta love MSW.
     
  16. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    yeah...Trump may literally have to drain the swamp.
     
  17. StuckontheGulf

    StuckontheGulf Well-Known Member

    524
    Apr 23, 2012
    I prefer it more in the 60 to 65 ft range.
     
  18. Wavestrom

    Wavestrom Well-Known Member

    477
    Jul 5, 2014
    You knew DC was in trouble when the sea turtles didn't lay eggs up in OCMD...
     
  19. MASurf

    MASurf Active Member

    26
    Aug 2, 2017
    If that actually happens it's going to completely wipe out the new jersey coastline. scary stuff.
     
  20. Wavestrom

    Wavestrom Well-Known Member

    477
    Jul 5, 2014

    Classic step-off (an oil tanker) surf.