Pattern shift in March?

What do you have the swell prediction golden butthole?

Let's all hope to God you do!

 

I was talking to a meteorologist about this just yesterday... looking good in the near future and water temps are already starting to climb. Not to mention the time change so after work sessions might be plausible... chugga chugga

 

I’m in, sign me up!

 

Yes, could be a fun March/spring

 

Wish I was heading to PR for a month right now.

Conditions here in the mid-Atlantic are questionable but FL looks to get a good shot of swell. Hopefully we see some mid period and good winds from this big Atlantic low. Looks like most of swell heads south.

Small scale surf from the low popping off the coast next day or so. maybe Saturday morning...

sIs, you seeing ESE swell from high pressure?

 

Ticket has been bought. I'm on board. Trains departing. Choooooo chooooo!

 

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This big high off Florida (Bermuda High) has been producing almost summer like conditions for Delmarva in the past month. S/SW winds, small south swells, warm weather. Crazy May-like conditions.

 

The size of these ocean storms is just unreal, even if their location hasn't been far enough west to really give us a good NE swell. This past weeks storm gave us a little shot of 3'@12 seconds but it was several hundred miles closer to the coast than this next one if forecast. Here is a wind model map for the next storm late weekend/early next week. Look how huge these storm are! The area with greater than 36 knot winds is like triple the size of a big hurricane. Unfortunately most of the fetch is directed towards the Carribean and Morocco. The open ocean swell forecast down around Tortolla and Barbados mid next week is 10 feet at 19 seconds of N swell.

 

Perfect for Rincon... and a lot of other places. No?

 

10 ft @ 19S?? Never been to soupbowls but I bet that whole island will be firing

 

No...too far East and South if it is East of Barbados.
Barbados is southeast of PR; Rincon is on the west coast of PR
But I cannot tell from that digitalized picture.....

 

Yesterday I was lying on the beach, 76 degrees, in NH, in February! Today there's snow on the ground.

 

So you don't tell the truth when you are on the beach in February??

 

I don't disagree with your premise. Take a look at the loop on this thing...it is so strong it appears it will filter in to the NW corner and probably create some really good conditions (depending on local winds). While they (Rincon) are finishing up with a nice little swell with good conditions as we speak. Probably my favorite time to be there (Feb-March).

Indialanctic is showing 20 second period in 5 days or so. sIs is stoked...I guess we (DELMARVA/VB/OuterBanks) will see some longish period east swell but how big...who knows.

 

NOAA Wavewatch III has a model output point just west of Rincon.

First table is the date of the month and hour
Third table is the swell height in meters, period, and direction (that the swell is going towards)

So you can see the really long 18 sec+ period but small forerunners
then it fills in to 5' at 14 seconds. But it is NNE...so maybe Rincon is shadowed by the NW corner a bit. Im a huge fan of these raw data sites...