http://www.pressofatlanticcity.com/...d3a8-2c80-11df-9b82-001cc4c002e0.html?success "His model considered several factors, including a weakening El Nino, the system blamed in part for all the snow New Jersey has seen this year. He also looked at warmer ocean temperatures in the tropics, which provide much of the energy for coastal storms, higher humidity and weakening trade winds." Awesome
Yeah but remember when they were saying this past summer was going to be pretty bad. Then they retracted and realized all their expensive equipment still can't anticipate nature's moves.
nope...powerful el nino = $hitty hurricane season. the bastard child may be weakening, but it's still a strong one. clean off the pintails & patch their dings. dig out your logs & fish & prepare for a long, flat summer.
http://www.aolnews.com/nation/artic...-extreme-accuweather-forecaster-says/19392418 Heres another thing on it.
I know that there is no way to tell, but for some reason, I have a good feeling about this summer/fall for you guys. I was talking with my Dad, who works for NOAA in their DC office was talking to me about the predictions on both coasts going forward this year, and although NOAA is very frequently wrong, things are pointing towards a very active season. For surfers, that may be good, but for the rest of the world, this is very bad.... I just hope you guys get some good swell from it, but not get a bunch of landfalls. With all these earthquakes and crazy things happening in the past year, I think some serious business is going on with the ol' earth.... we shall see. And if people are correct about the whole climate change thing, a fraction of a degree in a lot of these tropical strom cases could make a world of difference one way or the other.
I say it doesn't matter what they predict because it's just that, a prediction. We are going to get whatever get despite forcasts and predictions.
The seasonal hurricane predictions are pretty good overall... But despite what the quantity of storms they predict, that doesn't have any influence on whether we will see good hurricane surf. For example, there could be 15 storms, but if they are all way offshore, or in the caribbean, then that wont influence the east coast, etc... But, we could have 5 storms, that take perfect paths for your location (kind of like last year - we had just an average storms, but very good tracks up the East Coast.).
