Swell Models for NJ (Monmouth Cty)

Discussion in 'Mid Atlantic' started by HeliumGGA, Sep 10, 2010.

  1. HeliumGGA

    HeliumGGA Member

    6
    Sep 10, 2010
    Want to put my request in for days off work for next week and I was just wondering if the swell models that are saying Thursday we should start seeing some swell are fairly accurate? I just dont want to take a day off for nothing. What do you guys think?
     
  2. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    this is dependent upon TS Igor... As of now, it looks like ground swells will start to fill in by the end of the work week, which would build into the weekend.

    working aggressively on fixing the swellinfo model overcalls on hurricane force wind scenarios... should be able to get this in place in time by Igor.
     

  3. stoneybaloney

    stoneybaloney Well-Known Member

    May 11, 2009
    I wouldn't put for that time off until Wednesday. :)
     
  4. lax8810

    lax8810 Well-Known Member

    109
    Aug 29, 2009
    i think its a little too far out to give a good estimation on when this possible swell will be good.
     
  5. HeliumGGA

    HeliumGGA Member

    6
    Sep 10, 2010
    I agree completely about after Wednesday, I was leaning more towards half day Thursday and all day Friday but well see what happens, thanks for the info!
     
  6. Koki Barrels

    Koki Barrels Well-Known Member

    Aug 14, 2008
    yeah, Igor looks like a mutant, CAT 3 by Wednesday and it hasn't even entered the gulf stream, looks like this could be the storm of the decade...or not...lol
     
  7. Scobeyville

    Scobeyville Well-Known Member

    May 11, 2009
    I picked a greatttttttttt day to get my wisdom teeth yanked.... KUCFFFFFFF
     
  8. Groundswell

    Groundswell Active Member

    39
    Aug 24, 2010
    Time will tell. Strong high in the North Atlantic may dictate a similiar track to that of Danielle. Not quite sure about storm strength yet. I hope more than Danielle. Read your buoys!!!!!
     
  9. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    I'd say at this point thursday will be pretty small, and we could see some rise in ground swells around Friday. The upgrade to the swellinfo wave model is near, and will go into place within the next 24 hours. This is to correct the forecast overcall on hurricane force wind scenarios.
     
  10. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    update has been successful. I'd say Friday is looking appetizing right now with potential offshore winds. Swell will grow into the weekend, but winds aren't looking as promising for the east facing areas...
     
    Last edited: Sep 12, 2010
  11. HeliumGGA

    HeliumGGA Member

    6
    Sep 10, 2010
    looks like I am probably going to take 1/2 day Friday.
     
  12. beachbreak

    beachbreak Well-Known Member

    Apr 7, 2008
    tide wind swell look right in lavallette friday afternoon,dude
     
  13. lbsurfer

    lbsurfer Well-Known Member

    226
    Apr 20, 2009
    I looked at the swell map and it looks like this hurricane swell is gonna miss monmouth county.... again (danielle :( )
     
  14. Swellinfo

    Swellinfo Administrator

    May 19, 2006
    yes, i agree... The long period SE swell is getting refracted away from Monmouth County due to the offshore canyon... If the swell direction is more SSE than it is not a problem.

    South of Monmouth County should be fine as it was with Danielle.
     
  15. pkovo

    pkovo Well-Known Member

    599
    Jun 7, 2010
    I hope it ends up more of a SSE swell. If the current forecasts hold, the swell angle looks to be similar to Danielle, which means many spots closed out.
     
  16. mOtion732

    mOtion732 Well-Known Member

    Sep 18, 2008
    no surprises there ha
     
  17. NJ SPONGIN

    NJ SPONGIN Well-Known Member

    573
    Feb 24, 2009
    Haha i need to start goin somewhere else.
     
  18. stoneybaloney

    stoneybaloney Well-Known Member

    May 11, 2009
    I hear that. I have been traveling south lately. Some of the breaks in northern MoCo are actually too protected.
     
  19. mOtion732

    mOtion732 Well-Known Member

    Sep 18, 2008
    earl friday night in monmouth cty was pretty nuts..
     
  20. stoneybaloney

    stoneybaloney Well-Known Member

    May 11, 2009
    Totally. I was out around 4-7pm and there were some bombs! There were kooks trying to get past the impact zone for 15-20 minutes before heading back to the beach. Much better than drowning!