Help me read a forecast!

Discussion in 'Weather and Surf Forecasting' started by east~coast, May 30, 2012.

  1. east~coast

    east~coast Member

    14
    Nov 16, 2011
    Whats going on guys I'm fairly new to reading reports and I thought I had a pretty solid idea of what to look for but apparently not. I'm from Long Island NY, looking at the Fire Island swell forecast and there was a reported offshore wind with a SSE swell for this morning and when I went out, nothing was out there. The tide was the only thing off it was in between high going to low when low is better but I don't think it would affect it that much where waves were barely breaking.
    I read that there was a 4 foot swell with a 7 second period with 5mph offshore winds.. thought that would produce some solid waves but there was nothing. Anything I'm missing? What should I be looking for? HELP
     
  2. OldSoul

    OldSoul Well-Known Member

    347
    Nov 7, 2011
    Check the cam's my man. Many of us have been skunked by the reports and many of us have had much success when the reports** called for slop, bottom line is you can never solely rely on them because no one can 100% predict the weather.. Use the report/predictions as more of a guide line, and know how your surf spot reacts to conditions and tides. The best thing to do is go to the beach and see whats going on, second best thing (and more economical) is using the cams and other indicators to make a good guess.

    I was debating going out but decided to wait and try for tomorrow. Where did you go today and what time? Ive been looking at the Gilgo cam all day lol
     
    Last edited: May 31, 2012

  3. Sniffer

    Sniffer Well-Known Member

    Sep 20, 2010
    Welcome to east coast surfing my friend, fickle is the best term to describe our surf. If the swell your speaking is groundswell, then an outgoing tide will usually steal most of its juice. Incoming is more ideal
     
  4. east~coast

    east~coast Member

    14
    Nov 16, 2011
    Yeah I ran out to gilgo this morning around 6am and it was dead, the reports called for waist-chest but they were barely peaking it was super depressing lol. I'm taking the day off tomorrow and going out to Demo so lets hope we got something there
     
  5. OldSoul

    OldSoul Well-Known Member

    347
    Nov 7, 2011
    Ill see you there dude!
     
  6. Mr.Belmar

    Mr.Belmar Well-Known Member

    Aug 19, 2010
    nothing like the surf cam check!
     
  7. knolleo

    knolleo Member

    10
    May 29, 2012
    Don't rely on 1 source I use Swellinfo, Surfline and The Surfers View for the cam
     
  8. knolleo

    knolleo Member

    10
    May 29, 2012
  9. whitewater

    whitewater Well-Known Member

    158
    Feb 25, 2010
    green means go. Thats all you need to know
     
  10. ihatelongboarders

    ihatelongboarders Well-Known Member

    Dec 13, 2007
    i totally thought this was a post by Micah.

    ps i hate you beryl
     
  11. Noel

    Noel Member

    14
    Sep 26, 2011
    I think maybe...just because the offshore buoy readings says something...that can't be your only source of info. Compare to other things...Like how long did you have offshore winds. Maybe that's keeping the swell from reaching coast..or direction of that swell...You have to look at a combo of everything...and of coarse camera. Down south here...there is no substitute for Swellinfo help with swell ...but for example...for current wind and wind forecast ...nothing better ( to me ) than Wind Alert. This app. is accurate under an hour as to when the wind will switch. Turning Red to Green on the swellinfo chart is not always that accurate..so this has helped a lot with timing....I also will compare all that to local and Noaa Weather predictions ...Then try to make my own determinations...Since I moved away from the beach , it is now a two hour drive...so I have learned to take advantage of more that one source of information, and I must say I am rarely disappointed. Oh...yes..hard to beat the Camera. We have a live, free one at the pier...so I can even see some of the wave action at night...Look at Everything...then be your own forecaster.