I was reading a report from N.O.A.A., they said another El Nino is starting to form, which will decrease the formation of hurricanes in the Atlantic, the downside from a surfing standpoint, the upside would be more of a colder and more nor'easters comming through in the winter which equals to more surf in the winter, has anyone heard this report also
Yes, a lot of us have seen this. It is a matter for discussion. I haven't looked at the data in a few weeks, but last time I looked they were predicting the transition sometime in either late summer/early fall. It would suppress the formation of hurricanes, but at the same time would push the jet streams into latitudes that favour more nor'easters. But those predictions are based on past history of what has occured. The caveat to all this is that some weird crap is happening in the big picture. Not a lot is being said in either the main stream media or some other sites, but if you dig through the material a little deeper you'll see something not quite right is going on.
I believe that the last El nino season that we had there weren't a whole bunch of NEasters but there was one big one during the fall a few years back. The real BIG one might be coming soon....
Mr. Flying eye can you elaborate on this, not meaning to be a smarta$$ but it sounds to me like a little, 2012, end of the world stuff...what is quite not right, that the main stream media or other sites arent telling us...Im just curious and I gotta know
Flying eye, you must tell us, or at least post a link to where you did your research, you got me dieing to know!
The funny thing about el ninos is that back in '98(?) I remember the media making a huge deal out of an el nino saying it only happens every 12 years or so. I guess by 12 years they meant pretty much every year. Huh, who knew?
I think we'll really be able to tell by August/September. July is usually a quiet month for Hurricanes anyway. Surprisingly enough though, there were some nice 3 footers in Va Beach today! Back to the topic at hand. From what I remember from past El Nino's, there wasn't much activity in the Atlantic. Also, it seems this year, everything has started way earlier than usual. Spring was blooming in late Feb/Early March, Tornado season was booming in the winter time, and we had 3 or 4 back to back tropical storms in the atlantic in June. I don't remember that every happening, at least to my knowledge. So it may be a dead year for Hurricanes, but I wouldn't give up hope on that just yet.
Besides, in reality, those meteorologists are only going by past years just like someone else said... they have NO idea what the weather will do, they can only predict ! Either way, come winter time I'll have a nice wetsuit hopefully and will be ready to paddle out !
First let me just say that I don't really have a lot a faith in the 2012 hype that was so prevelant in the recent past. I do believe that there is a tipping point in the global climate that very well may have been reached. There is some very good science that backs the argument. There are also quite a few nay Sayers that will tell you that we don't know what the weather did before we kept records, which is not quite true. Did you know that comparisons are being made to this years drought and the 1934 event, which by the way created the dust bowl and forced massive migrations out of the central part of the country. It's where the term okie comes from. Record high temps for the last year, below avaerage number of tornadoes, a line of wind sheer that stretched from NY to southestern Va that knocked out power to approx 2 mil customers.Anyway I am not a meteorologist or a climatologist. But I can read the data well enough to see what should be a pattern based on current climate conditions to see that the pattern is not being followed.
And let me say this, the surf today on Pea Island was pretty good. Thank you Bermuda high. And if you want data, it's all right there on NOAA's site and WEATHER.com.
