"Leslie"

The area of convection is already fairly large in size, and the steering currents should send this into the East Coast swell window... My hopes are relatively high.

 

Our day in the sun is coming...can you say week long swell?!?

 

Week long swell? Probably not. The front will keep things choppy up until Wednesday, and by then the storm gets turned back East by the same front. Looks like Wednesday has the best chance for swell and offshore winds....

 

The Fetch on this sucker could be massive...this type of storm occurs often this time of year (anyone remember the 9/11 swell?)

 

I unfortunately remember that swell all too well. It was epic.

Dean

 

Tourists go home and school starts here on monday. Hahahaha! Can't wait.

 

For the mid-atlantic it looks like the swell will start Tuesday night and into Wednesday but thats when the forecast ends.

How long will this last? Could it go into the weekend?

 

Five day east coast swells are rare, but not unheard of. After all, a week from saturday is nine days from now...anything could happen.

Man...look at that forecast track! Nova Scotia could get LIT UP!

 

This is redemption time for the East Coast. All those reports of perfect southern hemi surf everywhere else were getting depressing...

 

Cool satellite photo of soon-to-be-Leslie and Hurricane Kirk off to the north moving out.

 

All of the tracks I see now have the majority of them going to the EAST of Bermuda. I can't remember the last Cane that sent significant swell to the East Coast that went East of Bermuda.

The last couple of "big cane swells" around this time (Bill, Earl, Irene) went WAY closer to the shore than this one is projected to go. I can see breaks in the OBX and New England that jut out into the Atlantic getting some good swell but the tucked away breaks in NJ will only get around 4-5ft it seems.

 

4-5 ft is about all the Jersey breaks can handle right now with the state of the sandbars. If this storm gets big and moves slow, swell will come from it...

 

I just have a bad feeling about this one and how the rest of the season has been going. So much bad luck and lack of waves I'd be surprised if this actually produces something worthwhile.

Only thing I'm hoping for this season would be for a storm to take away all the sand the cities tried to pump onto the beach because it basically killed most of the breaks around me.

 

I lucked out... took the rest of the short work week off for this. Thank you!

@apbb this one looks similar to Danielle in 2010. Had similar periods, and I thought it would close out the beaches but it didn't. I remember long lulls though

 

Not sure but it seemed like Kirk was throwing some tiny ground swell our way this morning. Knee to thigh high with offshore winds and knowone out but me.

 

Merry Christmas?

 

Invest 98L is right beside her too, wonder if they will split their trajectories at some point. Would be nice if one took a course closer to the coast

 

we shall see. wait another two days and the forecast should be more accurate. could definetly go for some chest to shoulder waves in 78 degree water before the temps fall

 

Exactly, but 4-5ft doesn't sound to bad to me... All the models are curving this storm east of Bermuda, but i'd say there is plenty of uncertainty in that track forecast as of now... The steering currents should be relatively light, and if it doesn't get picked up by the weak trough, it certainly seems plausible that it could go west of the Bermuda longitude.