Invest 91

Discussion in 'Southeast' started by thad114, Jun 4, 2013.

  1. thad114

    thad114 Member

    11
    Jun 26, 2012
    Anyone watching it? Looks like it might create some surf thursday-Saturday here in Southern North Carolina...
     
  2. seldom seen

    seldom seen Well-Known Member

    Aug 21, 2012
    Isn't it still in the gulf, just north of the Yucatan? Come on man, the jinx is a real thing.
     

  3. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    Yep, Gulfbound today after work / tomorrow morning, should be waist high and clean, that's a good day for the Gulf my friends...
     
  4. brewengineer

    brewengineer Well-Known Member

    Jun 22, 2011
    If it even take the East Coast path, I doubt we will get anything but rain.
     
  5. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
  6. mushdoc

    mushdoc Well-Known Member

    323
    Jan 30, 2013
    Don't get too excited...way overcalled today. Was supposed to be solid starting today and was very weak.
     
  7. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    From flhurricane.com. :

    As of early this morning, here are the bullet points:
    91L's structure is a blend of subtropical and marginally tropical
    91L's weather continues to be most pronounced on its eastern half
    Conditions for development have turned from unfavorable to marginally favorable
    Conditions for development are forecast to become even better over the next day or two

    The broad low pressure area being tracked as Invest 91L has been struggling to organize over the past several days, but conditions are now staring to become marginally favorable for subtropical or tropical development.

    As of early Wednesday morning, 91L still consists of a broad surface circulation with multiple, competing swirls about an axis of lower pressure, but this could be starting to change.

    Late last night convection started flaring up a little closer to the center, and not so far removed as to be completely auxiliary. Concurrent with this event, pressures have been falling, and wind speeds rising. More recently, night vision IR imagery suggests that a center reformation may be trying to take place closer to the deepest convection. Any one of these by itself may not mean much, but taken together, this is characteristic of a sloppy system getting better organized.

    The driving forces that have been holding 91L in check are starting to relax, with both shear and dry air decreasing. With upper level winds now aligning themselves a little with the lower levels, 91L is starting to take on a somewhat classic subtropical cyclone look.

    At the surface, observations show winds now up to around 35 MPH sustained, with higher gusts. Most of the strongest winds are occurring well removed from 91Ls estimated center, which is also consistent with subtropical cyclones. In fact, a ship report from roughly 350 miles to its east recently reported winds of up to 49 MPH in a thunderstorm.

    Recon is tentatively scheduled to fly through Invest 91L later today.
     
    Last edited: Jun 5, 2013
  8. thad114

    thad114 Member

    11
    Jun 26, 2012
    Fullscreen capture 652013 81839 AM.jpg

    looks like a fun weekend from where I am sitting. The wind forecast is a little bit weird, as it shows nearshore winds around 10, but not far offshore to be 35+. So that's probably pushing the limits of forecasting accuracy, if I assume 10 offshore...
     
  9. natkitchen

    natkitchen Well-Known Member

    776
    Mar 29, 2011
    I wonder if its gonna kick anything up for us, forecast isn't showing much.
     
  10. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    Yeah it was weak as hell, Still found a decent sandbar to get a few but typical gulf skunking, guess we officially can start summer.

    Although tomorrow may produce, we'll see
     
    Last edited: Jun 5, 2013
  11. Erock

    Erock Well-Known Member

    Aug 6, 2011
    Now it's just going to track up the coast, barely in the ocean.

    Yay, lots of rain and no waves!
     
  12. brewengineer

    brewengineer Well-Known Member

    Jun 22, 2011
    We are def in the red. Hopefully I don't have to go in to work tomorrow.
     
  13. Erock

    Erock Well-Known Member

    Aug 6, 2011
    Fark, I'm not done with this rain barrel system I've been trying to get set up in the free time I haven't had.
     
  14. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    As suspected, the swell hit today finally, in the chest to head range at the best spots...just gotta deal with some wind / rain periodically, too bad I took off yesterday and not today (wife had surgery, had to)
     
  15. mushdoc

    mushdoc Well-Known Member

    323
    Jan 30, 2013
    Sorry to hear about your wife...hope she is ok.
    I did score about three hours of excellent surf towards the end of the day(Thursday). Nice spot with mucho wind protection.
     
  16. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    Very nice, was it at a certain spot north of a jetty? a place that also has a south Jetty? Or no.... lol Thanks regarding the wife, she'll be ok, had foot surgery so she's just recovering at home.
     
  17. brewengineer

    brewengineer Well-Known Member

    Jun 22, 2011
    Blown out here. I am hoping it clears up this evening or tomorrow morning. The storm was hardly a decent tropical system when it hit us.
     
  18. DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    Mar 6, 2012
    We practically got a "direct hit" and I hardly even noticed it, we get worse scattered thunderstorms on a random summer day
     
  19. brewengineer

    brewengineer Well-Known Member

    Jun 22, 2011
    That's what I thought about the wind while crossing the 526 bridges on the way to work. The wind was worse last month when we had a couple weeks of wind storms.
     
  20. mushdoc

    mushdoc Well-Known Member

    323
    Jan 30, 2013
    Sounds like you are describing the spot. Near Sand Key? Anyway...it worked out great during low tide.