TS or Hurricane Cristobal?

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Aug 19, 2014.

Page 2 of 14
  1. Aug 20, 2014 #21
    sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    5,399
    Jun 17, 2013
    Check out dabuh.com, the guy is a real hoot, and he has lots of cool maps and models in motion. I've been checking him out for a while and although he tends to overhype a bit, it is useful. According to his latest update, the whole east coast and the panhandle will get swell in the next few days to a week.
     
    sisurfdogg, Aug 20, 2014
    sisurfdogg, Aug 20, 2014
  3. Aug 20, 2014 #22
    fl.surfdog

    fl.surfdog Well-Known Member

    5,513
    Dec 6, 2010
    Sisurfdogg, yeah he is a hoot, I had him on my phone for updates, my phone would go off pretty late at night, a little annoying, had cancel the subscription, a little over hyped, not bad for a novice weatherman though.
     
    fl.surfdog, Aug 20, 2014
    fl.surfdog, Aug 20, 2014

  5. Aug 20, 2014 #23
    Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    2,018
    Oct 14, 2012
    The latest from NOAA:
    "TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    200 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an elongated area
    of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Windward
    Islands has become a little better organized during the past few
    hours. Additional slow development of this system is possible during
    the next day or two, and a tropical depression could form as the
    system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser
    Antilles and into the Caribbean Sea. After that time, land
    interaction could limit development potential over the weekend.
    Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, gusty winds and heavy
    rainfall are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto
    Rico, and the Virgin Islands on Thursday night and Friday. Interests
    in those islands should closely monitor the progress of this system.
    An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
    investigate this system tomorrow afternoon, if necessary.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.
     
    Betty, Aug 20, 2014
    Betty, Aug 20, 2014
  6. Aug 20, 2014 #24
    Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    2,018
    Oct 14, 2012
    Betty, Aug 20, 2014
    Betty, Aug 20, 2014
  7. Aug 20, 2014 #25
    DawnPatrol321

    DawnPatrol321 Well-Known Member

    17,845
    Mar 6, 2012
    This is good... yes, i like
     
    DawnPatrol321, Aug 20, 2014
    DawnPatrol321, Aug 20, 2014
  8. Aug 20, 2014 #26
    yankee

    yankee Well-Known Member

    9,092
    Sep 26, 2008
    I hope it sweeps through just as I'm getting back from Costa Rica...feel the passive aggressive side of HOTY..... :p
     
    yankee, Aug 20, 2014
    yankee, Aug 20, 2014
  9. Aug 20, 2014 #27
    sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    5,399
    Jun 17, 2013
    I can picture it, just past midnight, all is quiet, snug in bed...."THIS IS CHICKY DAMAINE AKA DA BUH DABUH.COM WITH YOUR LATEST SURF WEATHER UPDATE SPONSERED BY WHITEYS FISH CAMP!!!! WE'VE GOT A BIG FETCH POINTED AT THE WHOLE EAST COAST AND THE LONG RANGE MODELS ARE CALLING FOR THIS TO WIND UP AND KICK BACK SOME LONG PERIOD GROUNDSWELL". Like the apocalypse is upon us. He is classic.
     
    sisurfdogg, Aug 20, 2014
    sisurfdogg, Aug 20, 2014
  10. Aug 21, 2014 #28
    oldenglish

    oldenglish Well-Known Member

    45
    Jun 9, 2012
    L o L. This is pretty much spot on.
     
    oldenglish, Aug 21, 2014
    oldenglish, Aug 21, 2014
  11. Aug 21, 2014 #29
    fl.surfdog

    fl.surfdog Well-Known Member

    5,513
    Dec 6, 2010
    My phone was going off at 11:30pm..." first one to such and such surf shop at 8:00am gets a10% discount"....annoyed a little. ..his heart is in the right place though... gotta love the guy.
     
    fl.surfdog, Aug 21, 2014
    fl.surfdog, Aug 21, 2014
  12. Aug 21, 2014 #30
    mrcoop

    mrcoop Well-Known Member

    605
    Jun 22, 2010
    Will it be the, "THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND SWELL TO REMEMBER"...models currently pointing to it...LONG way out tho.
     
    mrcoop, Aug 21, 2014
    mrcoop, Aug 21, 2014
  13. Aug 21, 2014 #31
    Sandblasters

    Sandblasters Well-Known Member

    4,668
    May 4, 2013
    chuuuu chuuu the hype train has come to port.
     
    Sandblasters, Aug 21, 2014
    Sandblasters, Aug 21, 2014
  14. Aug 21, 2014 #32
    Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    2,018
    Oct 14, 2012
    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    200 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area
    of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of the Windward
    Islands have changed little in organization during the past
    several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to be
    conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
    tropical depression could form while the system moves
    west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Lesser Antilles and
    over the eastern Caribbean Sea. The mountainous terrain of
    Hispaniola and eastern Cuba could limit development during the first
    part of the weekend, but conditions are expected to be conducive for
    development early next week when the system is forecast to move near
    or over the Bahamas.

    Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, gusty winds and heavy
    rainfall are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto
    Rico, and the Virgin Islands tonight and Friday, and over Hispaniola
    late Friday and Saturday. Interests in those islands should closely
    monitor the progress of this disturbance. An Air Force Reserve
    Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this
    afternoon, if necessary.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
     
    Betty, Aug 21, 2014
    Betty, Aug 21, 2014
  15. Aug 21, 2014 #33
    worsey

    worsey Well-Known Member

    4,503
    Oct 13, 2013
    todays news is better for right coasters.
     
    worsey, Aug 21, 2014
    worsey, Aug 21, 2014
  16. Aug 21, 2014 #34
    Riley Martin's Disgruntled Neighbor

    Riley Martin's Disgruntled Neighbor Well-Known Member

    1,522
    Aug 22, 2012
    Riley Martin's Disgruntled Neighbor, Aug 21, 2014
    Riley Martin's Disgruntled Neighbor, Aug 21, 2014
  17. Aug 21, 2014 #35
    Sandblasters

    Sandblasters Well-Known Member

    4,668
    May 4, 2013
    Sandblasters, Aug 21, 2014
    Sandblasters, Aug 21, 2014
  18. Aug 21, 2014 #36
    Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    3,106
    Jan 5, 2009
    In other words, they have no idea. It either does not get caught up in the trough and goes into the gulf, or it gets picked up by the mid latitude trough and heads out to sea for Bermuda to worry about, or something else entirely. One of the guys on the weather channel this morning said when the storm hasn't even closed off a curculation yet it has no defined center, the models cant even start from a specific storm center. So the model runs are STARTING with significant built in error before they even consider the steering currents, which introduces more error!
     
    Last edited: Aug 21, 2014
    Mitchell, Aug 21, 2014
    Mitchell, Aug 21, 2014
  19. Aug 21, 2014 #37
    mrcoop

    mrcoop Well-Known Member

    605
    Jun 22, 2010
    mrcoop, Aug 21, 2014
    mrcoop, Aug 21, 2014
  20. Aug 21, 2014 #38
    nynj

    nynj Well-Known Member

    5,128
    Jul 27, 2012
    They have a very good idea... They know for a fact that it will either strengthen or weaken and head towards the gulf or north

     
    nynj, Aug 21, 2014
    nynj, Aug 21, 2014
  21. Aug 21, 2014 #39
    bandaid

    bandaid Well-Known Member

    74
    Jul 21, 2010
    bandaid, Aug 21, 2014
    bandaid, Aug 21, 2014
  22. Aug 21, 2014 #40
    worsey

    worsey Well-Known Member

    4,503
    Oct 13, 2013
    toofunny.
    i like the yellow track with, how bout.....a.......STRONG storm....??
     
    worsey, Aug 21, 2014
    worsey, Aug 21, 2014
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