El nino and the Eastcoast

curious to hear as well

 

As a layman...and regarding the northeast...and prease, correct me if I'm wrong Mitchell...but up here they're saying warmer than average temperatures coupled with above average precipitation...but they also say that if said precip occurs during a cold snappe, we could get a fock ton o' snow.

I don't know if those systems are usual nor' easters.

I hope there's some waves with warmer than usual air temps, got pretty frigid up here the past cpl years...

I hope to one day be like Mitchell and be able to make sense of various types of weather maps.

 

Two things that will keep the El Nino a mystery for the East Coast...especially the NE: North Atlantic Oscillation and the Artic Oscillation. Both can create major events as the El Nino pattern unfolds (lower Jetstream out west sucking up southern moisture as systems march east along with the two things above make for an interesting outcome)

It seems like NE and SE will get different patterns (based on NOAA). Dryer and warmer NE with Wetter and cooler SE.

There is a lot that is unknown about the predictions (admits NOAA) but if you look at the big ones from early 80s and later 90s...there were some historic storms. Check out this link...tons of info...hit on the embedded links for more.

101515-noaa-strong-el-nino-sets-the-stage-for-2015-2016-winter-weather

 

Exactly. It's those oscillations that determine if the lowpressure systems kick well offshore and give us waves with nice ground swell, or hug the coast and give us nada but windchoppe. I can't figure them out, and the local surfing weatherman can't predict them, he can only report their trends. So far they look good for us, but who knows. The overhead swell due on Monday has just been downgraded to chest high.

 

Wetter and warmer flatness, so they say.

 

I think it means a dip in the jetstream sending the lows off NC creating Nor'easter fronts for the midatlantic and NE as opposed to the Lows going off new England creating south swells

also, more high intensity fronts

I think

 

NOAA Moisture Prediction

 

"Going" to affect??!!?? Going!!??!!
It already has and is. How many 'canes did you get?? Was it a flat season compared to others??
You are a moron.

 

burn lots of Styrofoam and use aerosol cans....the faster we fuk this planet up,the stronger storms we will have,which equals to epic surf.fuk green,paint it black!!

 

hogwash. you only had one. season is over.
weather channel is weather for idiots. go elsewhere.

 

^^^^ TS Ana and Claudette sent us waves early in the season. Sure, not hurricane. Nothing insane. But there were storms. Joaquin starts with the letter J. That's a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h, I, J. That's ten storms. Not one. Sure most didn't send us squat, but my point is we had more than one. Your not going to get a great track every storm every season. It's weather

 

"Idiots"...? They don't even merit the Cuda moron rating...?!?

 

Were all going down! Holy **** batten down the hatches. Its megagedon wave time. 30 foot waves, long island sound will turn into waimea!

 

http://www.wptv.com/sports/recreati...updated-local-surf-forecast_20140218014833840

Read the article, James knows what he is talking about... I know he is talking state specifics, but he gives you an idea of how a El Nino works....its looking really good down here this winter.

 

The Weather Channel is for kooks

 

That's the surfing weather dude I've been posting aboot. He sums it up pretty good.

The only beef I have with him is when it gets hard to predict, he goes absent and surfs until everyone else figures it out. If I had his access to wave models, I'd do the same thing. I've surfed with him once on a decent swell at a private break, he is pretty humble out in the water. (He's from the Jerz so he better be chill down here in da dirty souff!)

 

Barry's point (sometimes it gets lost in the way he communicates) is that it was a quiet tropical storm season this year, partly because of El Nino. He is right about that.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...ino-keeps-a-tight-lid-on-the-atlantic-season/