3 waves crossing Atlantic like bowling balls

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Aug 16, 2017.

  1. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    As of 2:00 pm EDT Wed Aug 16 2017 ...
    A low pressure system located about 800 miles east of the Lesser
    Antilles has become a little better defined since yesterday, but
    most of the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is
    displaced to the west of the center of circulation. Upper-level
    winds are forecast to become more conducive for development during
    the next day or so while the low moves westward at 15 to 20 mph
    across the tropical Atlantic Ocean, crossing into the Caribbean Sea
    on Friday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
    scheduled to investigate this system on Thursday, if necessary, and
    interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of the
    disturbance.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.


    Disturbance 2: 40% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours
    As of 2:00 pm EDT Wed Aug 16 2017 ...
    A second area of low pressure is located about 800 miles west
    of the Cabo Verde Islands, and its associated shower and
    thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Gradual development of
    this system is possible during the next few days while it moves
    west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, but upper-level winds are
    expected to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation
    when the disturbance moves north of the Leeward Islands this
    weekend.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

    Disturbance 3: 0% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours
    As of 2:00 pm EDT Wed Aug 16 2017 ...
    A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing a
    large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
    this wave while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15
    mph during the next several days.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
     

  2. sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    Jun 17, 2013
    It's gotten cray cray, and it's only the middle of August. By October we may be yelling "Mommy make it stop!"
     
  3. Big Wet Monster

    Big Wet Monster Well-Known Member

    938
    Feb 4, 2010
  4. beach.soon

    beach.soon Well-Known Member

    154
    Aug 30, 2015
    Agreed. This has been a great summer and looks like it is only going to get better as we get into fall. So much better than the weeks and weeks of flatness last June-July-August.
     
  5. cepriano

    cepriano Well-Known Member

    Apr 20, 2012
    nevaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!
     
  6. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Yes, there will be a small 45 minute window of opportunity mid tide.
     
  7. sisurfdogg

    sisurfdogg Well-Known Member

    Jun 17, 2013
    Florida style!
     
  8. Zeroevol

    Zeroevol Well-Known Member

    Jun 22, 2009
    Like the afternoon storms
     
  9. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    92L seems like it has the potential to follow in the footsteps of Gert...taking a southern track and then hooking up to the north right off the coast about a week from now.

    [​IMG]
     
  10. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    92L seems like it has the potential to follow in the footsteps of Gert...taking a southern track and then hooking up to the north right off the coast about a week from now.

    [​IMG]
     
  11. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    92L seems like it has the potential to follow in the footsteps of Gert...taking a southern track and then hooking up to the north right off the coast about a week from now.

    [​IMG]
     
  12. papa_ciurca

    papa_ciurca Active Member

    29
    Aug 5, 2013
    http://bfy.tw/DQry
     
  13. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    The meteorologists are bullish on 92L and see it as a possible threat to southeast.
     
  14. BassMon2

    BassMon2 Well-Known Member

    Jan 27, 2015
    Keep us updated betty. After gert I'm ready for the next 3. Looks like Harvey won't send us any goodies if he runs straight west. Got hope for the others.
     
  15. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Disturbance 1: 70% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours
    As of 2:00 am EDT Fri Aug 18 2017 ...
    Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low
    pressure located about 900 miles east of the Leeward Islands
    continues to show signs of organization. While this system
    does not yet appear to have a closed circulation, only a slight
    increase in organization could lead to the formation of a tropical
    depression before upper-level winds become less favorable for
    development early next week. The low is expected to move
    west-northwestward at about 20 mph during the next few days, and
    interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the
    progress of this disturbance.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
     
  16. nopantsLance

    nopantsLance Well-Known Member

    Aug 15, 2016
  17. CJsurf

    CJsurf Well-Known Member

    Apr 28, 2014
    The models I just looked at don't look all that impressive for the East Coast. The Gulf could have a serious storm on their hands though a week out.
     
  18. Barry Cuda

    Barry Cuda Guest

    All three of those storms are already traveling over 20mph, last report.
    They begging to disintegrate then, etc.
    Doesn't bode well for formation as the heads of the storms, necessary for true cane formation, get blown off.

    NEXT!!

    Now, should they slow down a bit to allow for circular formation......