And two new tropical disturbances

Discussion in 'All Discussions' started by Betty, Aug 31, 2017.

  1. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

    One is rolling off Africa and heading straight west toward SA for now.

    1. A tropical wave along the west coast of Africa is moving westward
    at about 15 mph. Environmental conditions could become more
    conducive for some development over the weekend while the system
    moves well south and southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

    2. An area of low pressure could form over the southwestern Gulf of
    Mexico by the weekend. Development, if any, of this system is
    expected to be slow to occur as the low moves slowly northward.

    If this system does develop, it could bring [much needed] rainfall to
    portions of the Texas and Louisiana coasts. However, any rainfall
    forecast is uncertain at this time range, and it is too soon to
    determine any specific impacts. Interests in these areas should
    monitor the progress of this potential system for the next few days.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low
     
  2. LI Waterman

    LI Waterman Well-Known Member

    60
    Dec 23, 2012
    I think Irma will be a great swell producer for the whole east coast, in addition to this already pretty good hurricane season. Would be nice to have another right after her.. Hopefully Irma re-curves out to sea.. already plenty of damage from Harvey. No need for more. Stoked for September/October!!
     

  3. DonQ

    DonQ Well-Known Member

    Oct 23, 2014
    I agree Betty, surf we will have!
    Devastation is totally different when combined with storms. I can't even think about surfing until I know my family, neighbors and community are taken care of.
     
  4. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    The one near Africa, which may become 94L:

    As of 2:00 pm EDT Fri Sep 1 2017 ...
    A tropical wave located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean off
    the west coast of Africa is producing disorganized cloudiness and
    showers. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
    development, and this system could become a tropical depression
    after the weekend while it moves westward at 15 mph over the
    tropical Atlantic.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

    Let's follow it and then give it its own treade.
     
  5. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Disturbance 1: 40% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 48 Hours
    As of 2:00 pm EDT Mon Sep 4 2017 ...
    An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles
    southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce
    disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
    are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical
    depression is likely to form later this week while the system moves
    west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
     
  6. Mitchell

    Mitchell Well-Known Member

    Jan 5, 2009
    It is now 94 L and its like Irma's twin brother, following in her footsteps, doing a loop on many of the models.

    [​IMG]
     
  7. Betty

    Betty Well-Known Member

    Oct 14, 2012
    Thanks Mitchell! 94L may just finish off the coast as we know it...
    Getting hurricane fatigue here....
     
  8. UnfurleD

    UnfurleD Well-Known Member

    Jul 13, 2016
    that's one sweet loop. thankful for the short week. hoping both will spin off of FL. should make for a wild week starting Wednesday, yeeewww bouyz!!
     
  9. bokey

    bokey Member

    13
    Mar 10, 2014
    It's like 94L is winding up for a hell of a punch. Let's hope everyone is wrong and it goes out to sea.